** House Notes** Be careful if races start close to each other. You may not get the results of the race you placed a bet on before the next race starts, so do try to either watch a Live Feed of the race or “watch” the race in real-time at Betfair. **

 

For Tripler, OBAD, and Ratchet, I use the 3 selections generated by the HRP software, assess each one, and then say what I am going to do. Obviously, you can make your own decisions as to what you think the outcomes will be. Sometimes, the result of a previous race will dictate whether I stick with my predictions or not. The automated HRP spreadsheet determines your next stake, based on the result of the previous race and is geared at helping you hit your daily target.

My new system, Doc’s Fav Goldmine, is coming along nicely and I have had many winners on the spin. My small stakes have increased in size, due to a constant supply of winning selections 🙂 My DFG Bank is now really building nicely. I only started keeping accurate records since April 1st, 2021. In the first 3 months, my Bank has increased 630.77%. However, as the stake is 10% of the Betting Bank, any losses do hit hard but I have always caught up rapidly before moving ahead again.

I ALWAYS stop betting if I hit my target of 2.5% (or as near as dammit.) Use your common sense – if you get close to your personal target, it’s your decision as to whether you want to carry on & go for it. Personally, I learned the harsh lesson of being greedy, and many times, when just under my target, I have “Gone for it,” only to lose the lot chasing bigger profits.

It’s your call as to whether you take the early odds, hoping they will then go down, or wait until nearer the off hoping the odds have increased. The key thing to remember is a winner (or winners) at odds totaling 1.25 or above will hit your Daily Target. A profit of 2.5% per day will double your Bank in a month.

 

As Albert Einstein allegedly said: “Compound Interest is the 8th Wonder Of The World.”

 

STAY SAFE FELLAS.

Even more medals! Well done to the Olympians.

 

TODAY’S HRP SELECTIONS

TRIPLER

13.00 – Market Rasen – Langafel. (77) – The only horse with experience at this level and won last time out. At the top of the betting, I expect it to produce another WIN.

15.10 – Chester – Dakota Gold. (82) – Excellent track record with several wins under his belt. Not penalised for recent performances, so for me, it’s another WIN.

15.50 – Galway – Rosscarbery. (62) – A very large field of 17 runners, but ours has finished really well on its last few outings, despite not winning. I feel this race may go the same way with a finish in the top 3. SPLIT.

 

OBAD

15.10 – Chester – Dakota Gold. (82) – Excellent track record with several wins under his belt. Not penalised for recent performances, so for me, it’s another WIN.

 

RATCHET – Instructions for use: http://bit.ly/35tpfR

 

DOC’S FAV GOLDMINE

• All selections are in the PLACE market.
• Stop at a profit of 2.5% per day. (Or as near as.)
• Use 10% of your Bank as stake.
• If a loss occurs, keep to the last stake and not 10% of the new, reduced Bank.

I am also showing the early Place Odds in brackets and the number of runners and the number of horses to be placed. It’s your decision as to whether or not you take the early odds or wait, hoping they will increase. The key thing to remember is a winner/winners at odds totaling 1.25 or above will hit your Daily Target. A profit of 2.5% per day will double your Bank every month.

Please be prepared to change your line of thinking – “on the hoof” so to speak – if the odds move dramatically. They may drift, thus making the selection a “No Bet”, or the odds may steam in, making it not worth taking the risk.

If you want to, you can omit any bets with odds below 1.25 (or thereabouts) and just concentrate on the bets over those odds. This reduces the number of bets but means if you get a winner, you have hit your target and can stop betting for the day, not having to risk any more money on another race. (It also means, however, if you do get a loser, there will be fewer races left to recoup any losses.)

Because of a strong winning 3 months, the stakes are getting quite serious now. I’m trying to be mega confident in my selections so will be scrutinising them in a little more detail.

13.00 – Market Rasen – Langafel. (1.28 – 6 – 2)

14.00 – Market Rasen – Tardree. (1.36 – 4 – 2)

15.10 – Chester – Dakota Gold. (1.17 – 8 – 3)

16.20 – Galway – Micro Manage. (1.11 – 6 – 2)

16.37 – Market Rasen – Bonttay. (1.57 – 7 – 2)

 

 

YESTERDAY’S SUMMARY

Terrific day’s results for the 3 main systems, with wins for Tripler, OBAD & Ratchet.

Doc’s Fav Goldmine ended the month as it started with a real topsy turvy day. Race 1 let us down but was followed by 3 wins.

TRIPLER

14.45 – Newmarket – Sayyida. (79) – This horse has moved up in class, so this may be too big a step for an immediate win. SPLIT. RESULT – 2nd.

14.55 – Doncaster – Poet Of Life. (74) – Great run 3 weeks ago and I expect a similar result today. WIN. RESULT – 1st.

15.05 – Goodwood – Wonderful Tonight. (82) – A hugely impressive horse on an upward curve. WIN. RESULT – 1st.

 

OBAD

15.05 – Goodwood – Wonderful Tonight. (82) – A hugely impressive horse on an upward curve. WIN. RESULT – 1st.

 

RATCHET – RESULTS – 2nd, 1st, 1st.

 

DOC’S FAV GOLDMINE

13.00 – Newmarket – Calm Skies. (1.13 – 6 – 2) RESULT – 3rd.

13.35 – Newmarket – Adaay To Remember. (1.78 – 6 – 2) RESULT – 1st.

15.13 – Galway – Nectaris. (1.31 – 8 – 3) RESULT – 1st.

19.35 – Lingfield – Makinitup. (1.16 – 9 – 3) RESULT – 1st.

 

 

SUMMARY OF DFG BETTING FOR JULY

 

Since I started keeping accurate records on April 1st, July was by far, the worst month I have endured. A lot of hard analysis work was destroyed by selections getting beaten out of the places by MASSIVE outsiders. The month started with nine straight winners, but out of the next 7 bets, there were FIVE losers, 4 of these coming in a row.  (You will probably have placed bets on different races to me.) When you have a loser and keep your stake the same, it means when you have a run of losing bets, the percentage of your bank loss increases with each losing bet, making it a lengthy process to recoup. So 4 losers on the bounce means a lot more than a 40% Bank loss. I caught up but once again, a loser or two drops you back again, much like Snakes and Ladders!

I have NEVER known so many outsiders to finish in the winners’ frame. It is unprecedented. I reckon out of all the losing bets I placed, 80% or more of them finished 3rd or 4th when the place payout was for 2 or 3 horses. I will amend my spreadsheet to see the actual finishing positions from now on. How many times can genuine winning selections get beaten by 80/1, 50/1 20/1 outsiders? Whether it was down to the unbelievable weather changes we had – from breaking temperature records to flash flooding, bad horsemanship, poorly prepared horses, or horses simply having an off day – I don’t know. All I know is that it is VERY unlikely that we will get such a run of bad luck again.

For the whole of the month, with all that effort, I ended up with a profit of 4.20%. Now I know you may say that this is a million miles away from my target of trying to double my Bank every month (which it is,) but if any of you had received a letter from your Bank saying that just for the month of July, they were offering you an interest rate of 4.20% A MONTH, how would you have reacted? I know I would have begged, stolen, and borrowed to cram as much as I could into my account in order to secure a monthly interest rate of 4.20%. (I currently receive 0.01% A YEAR!)

Well, that sums up July. I sincerely doubt we will ever see the likes of such results again and things should settle down to something more predictable.

This is a business, NOT a hobby. Just because one month didn’t perform as well as I had hoped doesn’t mean the system doesn’t work. On the contrary – the system DOES work. It is simply a case of sticking to the rules and we will be back on track.

Keep on winning fellas. 🙂