** House Notes** Be careful if races start close to each other. You may not get the results of the race you placed a bet on before the next race starts, so do try to either watch a Live Feed of the race or “watch” the race in real-time at Betfair. **
For Tripler, OBAD, and Ratchet, I use the 3 selections generated by the HRP software, assess each one, and then say what I am going to do. Obviously, you can make your own decisions as to what you think the outcomes will be. Sometimes, the result of a previous race will dictate whether I stick with my predictions or not. The automated HRP spreadsheet determines your next stake, based on the result of the previous race and is geared at helping you hit your daily target.
My new system, Doc’s Fav Goldmine, is coming along nicely and I have had many winners on the spin. My small stakes have increased in size, due to a constant supply of winning selections 🙂 My DFG Bank is now really building nicely. I only started keeping accurate records since April 1st, 2021. In the first 3 months, my Bank has increased 630.77%. However, as the stake is 10% of the Betting Bank, any losses do hit hard but I have always caught up rapidly before moving ahead again.
I ALWAYS stop betting if I hit my target of 2.5% (or as near as dammit.) Use your common sense – if you get close to your personal target, it’s your decision as to whether you want to carry on & go for it. Personally, I learned the harsh lesson of being greedy, and many times, when just under my target, I have “Gone for it,” only to lose the lot chasing bigger profits.
It’s your call as to whether you take the early odds, hoping they will then go down, or wait until nearer the off hoping the odds have increased. The key thing to remember is a winner (or winners) at odds totaling 1.25 or above will hit your Daily Target. A profit of 2.5% per day will double your Bank in a month.
As a non-horse racing expert, it still amazes me that in a race with only 4, 5 or 6 runners where there is a massive favourite, you can still occasionally pick up Place Odds in excess of 1.50. To my horse racing thicko’s mind, this is what I call a NO BRAINER.
As Albert Einstein allegedly said: “Compound Interest is the 8th Wonder Of The World.”
STAY SAFE FELLAS.
TODAY’S HRP SELECTIONS
TRIPLER
13.25 – Stratford – Camprond. (77) – Should be a simple case of jump on the horse, ride it and come first. WIN.
13.55 – Stratford – Presentandcounting. (89) – Really close at the top. Only 4 runners but I am sticking my neck out and going for a WIN.
14.40 – Kempton – Hukum. (94) – Only 5 runners and I am going for my 3rd straight WIN.
OBAD
14.40 – Kempton – Hukum. (94) – Only 5 runners and I am going for my 3rd straight WIN.
RATCHET – Instructions for use: http://bit.ly/35tpfR
DOC’S FAV GOLDMINE
- All selections are in the PLACE market.
- Stop at a profit of 2.5% per day. (Or as near as.)
- Use 10% of your Bank as stake.
- If a loss occurs, keep to the last stake and not 10% of the new, reduced Bank.
I am also showing the early Place Odds in brackets together with the number of runners and the number of horses to be placed. It’s your decision as to whether or not you take the early odds or wait, hoping they will increase. The key thing to remember is a winner/winners at odds totaling 1.25 or above will hit your Daily Target. A profit of 2.5% per day will double your Bank every month.
Please be prepared to change your line of thinking – “on the hoof” so to speak – if the odds move dramatically. They may drift, thus making the selection a “No Bet”, or the odds may steam in, making it not worth taking the risk.
If you want to, you can omit any bets with odds below 1.25 (or thereabouts) and just concentrate on the bets over those odds. This reduces the number of bets but means if you get a winner, you have hit your target and can stop betting for the day, not having to risk any more money on another race. (It also means, however, if you do get a loser, there will be fewer races left to recoup any losses.)
Because of a strong winning 3 months, the stakes are getting quite serious now. I’m trying to be mega confident in my selections so will be scrutinising them in a little more detail.
13.25 – Stratford – Camprond. (1.10 – 7 – 2)
13.55 – Stratford – Presentandcounting. (1.14 – 4 – 2)
15.20 – Wexford – Druids Altar. (1.22 – 5 – 2)
16.00 – Thirsk – Noble Dynasty. (1.79 – 7 – 2) Alternatively, look at 3 places @ 1.25.
17.10 – Thirsk – Southern Voyage. (1.57 – 6 – 2)
** If you are mega cautious, you may want to drill down into my selections and just go for the one/ones that would hit your target. For instance, you may just want to go for Race 4 in the 3 TBP market. It massively reduces your exposure, gives you more of a chance to win and if it is placed in the top 3, instead of the usual top 2, you would hit your target in just one race. **
YESTERDAY’S SUMMARY
A loser in Race 1 on Tripler, but that was followed by 2 successful selections in Races 2 & 3. The split choice worked on OBAD and we got all 3 selections on the places on Ratchet.
What can I say about Doc’s Fav Goldmine? Race 3 was bobbins and finished 4th but all the other 6 selections won their respective races!! I had a bit of a dilemma: Saga won in Race 1 but it was under my target by a bit. Should I stick or carry on? When I looked at the odds before the off, they had drifted way out but then started to steam back in. Should I change my selection? Should I go with the new favourite? Stick with my initial choice? Not place a bet???? I decided that I should stick with what I originally chose in the morning but reduce the stake to a smaller sum, sufficient to beat my target. If it lost, it wouldn’t be great but if it placed, I would be over the moon. The horse ended up winning the race, I ended up beating my target, and more importantly, I could stop betting for the day. An all-round win/win situation.
TRIPLER
13.45 – Haydock – Vertiginous. (64) – WIN. RESULT – 2nd.
13.55 – Ascot – Saga. (64) – WIN. RESULT – 1st.
18.37 – Kilbeggan – Nero Rock. (64) – SPLIT. RESULT – 2nd.
OBAD
18.37 – Kilbeggan – Nero Rock. (64) – SPLIT. RESULT – 2nd.
RATCHET – RESULTS – 2nd, 1st, 2nd.
DOC’S FAV GOLDMINE
13.55 – Ascot – Saga. (1.23 – 7 – 2) RESULT – 1st.
14.10 – Newcastle – Bashkirova. (1.28 – 11 – 3) RESULT – 1st.
16.15- Down Royal – Mickey The Steel. (1.29 – 7 – 2) RESULT – 4th.
16.55 – Newcastle – Dusky Lord. (1.24 – 6 – 2) RESULT – 1st.
18.45 – Kempton – Altraif. (1.21 – 10 – 3) RESULT – 1st.
19.15 – Kempton – Jumbly. (1.20 – 5 – 2) RESULT – 1st.
19.30 – Pontefract – King Of Stars. (1.45 – 8 – 3) RESULT – 1st.
Full house today, excellent! Do you record your bets in a excel sheet?
Hi PerLind. Yes, I do keep a spreadsheet. It’s one I made myself. I’m not computer clever enough to blank out the figures, but the columns I have are as follows:
Date New Bank Time Course Selection Stake Odds Runners Places Result Return Profit Day End Bank % Day % Month % Total Month Prof Tot Prof