** House Notes** Be careful if races start close to each other. You may not get the results of the race you placed a bet on before the next race starts, so do try to either watch a Live Feed of the race or “watch” the race in real-time at Betfair. **
For Tripler, OBAD, and Ratchet, I use the 3 selections generated by the HRP software, assess each one, and then say what I am going to do. Obviously, you can make your own decisions as to what you think the outcomes will be. Sometimes, the result of a previous race will dictate whether I stick with my predictions or not. The automated HRP spreadsheet determines your next stake, based on the result of the previous race and is geared at helping you hit your daily target.
My new system, Doc’s Fav Goldmine, is coming along nicely and I have had many winners on the spin. My small stakes have increased in size, due to a constant supply of winning selections 🙂 My DFG Bank is now really building nicely. I only started keeping accurate records since April 1st, 2021. In the first 3 months, my Bank has increased 630.77%. However, as the stake is 10% of the Betting Bank, any losses do hit hard but I have always caught up rapidly before moving ahead again.
I ALWAYS stop betting if I hit my target of 2.5% (or as near as dammit.) Use your common sense – if you get close to your personal target, it’s your decision as to whether you want to carry on & go for it. Personally, I learned the harsh lesson of being greedy, and many times, when just under my target, I have “Gone for it,” only to lose the lot chasing bigger profits.
It’s your call as to whether you take the early odds, hoping they will then go down, or wait until nearer the off hoping the odds have increased. The key thing to remember is a winner (or winners) at odds totaling 1.25 or above will hit your Daily Target. A profit of 2.5% per day will double your Bank in a month.
As a non-horse racing expert, it still amazes me that in a race with only 4, 5, or 6 runners where there is a massive favourite, you can still occasionally pick up superb Place Odds in excess of those required to hit your target. To my horse racing thicko’s mind, this is what I call a NO BRAINER.
As Albert Einstein allegedly said: “Compound Interest is the 8th Wonder Of The World.”
STAY SAFE FELLAS.
** NB. A SPLIT bet is normally divided into 25% for the WIN and 75% for the PLACE. (ie. 1/3.) If I mention a 2/2 split, it means 50% for the WIN and 50% for the PLACE. **
To keep you up to speed – both my brothers have had Covid, one of them really seriously. Fortunately, they are both fine, but I feel a bit of a fraud as I haven’t contracted it yet and feel a bit guilty and helpless because I just sit at home and take the dogs out. (Although this is probably the safest thing to do.)
As I recently retired with quite a bit of spare time on my hands, I wanted to try and do my bit to help our NHS, so I trained as a Covid-19 Volunteer and have already done a few shifts. I appreciate that I have had to leave early – sometimes before data has come through – but I feel I am doing the right thing as there are too many people suffering from this dreadful disease.
I hope you understand and I hope, that as a friendly and caring community of HRP guys, you bear with me for the short term. I will ALWAYS endeavour to post whenever it is at all possible.
TODAY’S HRP SELECTIONS
TRIPLER
15.10- Lingfield – Vespasian. (58) – Has shown a lot of promise, but then again, so have a lot of others. SPLIT. (I would also consider 4 TBP, depending on the odds later on.)
15.30 – Newcastle – Reset Button. (64) – Large field and although the favourite, I’m not convinced. SPLIT.
16.00 – Newcastle – Tyrrhenian Sea. (79) – Only 6 runners and ours is miles the best. WIN.
OBAD
16.00 – Newcastle – Tyrrhenian Sea. (79) – Only 6 runners and ours is miles the best. WIN.
RATCHET – Same selections as Tripler but in the PLACE MARKET. Instructions for use: http://bit.ly/35tpfR
DOC’S FAV GOLDMINE
- All selections are in the PLACE market.
- Stop at a profit of 2.5% per day. (Or as near as.)
- Use 10% of your Bank as stake.
- If a loss occurs, keep to the last stake and not 10% of the new, reduced Bank.
I am showing the early Place Odds in brackets together with the number of runners and the number of horses to be placed. It’s your decision as to whether or not you take the early odds or wait, hoping they will increase. The key thing to remember is a winner/winners at odds totaling 1.25 or above will hit your Daily Target. A profit of 2.5% per day will double your Bank every month.
Please be prepared to change your line of thinking – “on the hoof” so to speak – if the odds move dramatically. They may drift, thus making the selection a “No Bet”, or the odds may steam in, making it not worth taking the risk.
From now on, I will now show the odds for the EXTRA PLACE (and occasionally, 2 TBP) if the prices have merit. This is for those who want a little extra security and are prepared to accept lower odds for the Extra Place, and better odds if it’s well fancied on the 2 TBP market.
13.15 – Hereford – Line Of Descent. (1.36 – 11 – 3) 4 TBP at 1.22.
15.10- Lingfield – Vespasian. (1.44 – 11 – 3) 4 TBP at 1.25.
15.20 – Hereford – Good Luck Charm. (1.20 – 8 – 3)
16.00 – Newcastle – Broomy Law. (1.26 – 6 – 2)
YESTERDAY’S SUMMARY
Another top day. Two first places in the first two races on Tripler. The result in Race 3 didn’t matter as target was already hit. The OBAD selection also came first and the two first places in Races 1 & 2 made for a great day as well on Ratchet.
Doc’s Fav Goldmine had two first places in the first two races, again hitting target. Race 4 also won with the only letdown being a poor result in Race 3. However, target was already hit by then.
TRIPLER
13.10 – Lingfield – Al Marmar. (72) – The one to beat. WIN. RESULT – 1st.
13.40 – Lingfield – Pink Crystal. (67) – Head and shoulders better than the rest. WIN. RESULT – 1st.
13.50 – Southwell – Mind Sunday. (59) – Main threat comes from Signal Point, but I think ours, steered by our old mucca, Nico de Triumph Bonneville, will WIN. RESULT – Pulled Up.
OBAD
13.10 – Lingfield – Al Marmar. (72) – The one to beat. WIN. RESULT – 1st.
RATCHET – RESULTS – 1st, 1st, Pulled Up.
DOC’S FAV GOLDMINE
13.10 – Lingfield – Al Marmar. 2 TBP at 1.22. RESULT – 1st.
13.50 – Southwell – Signal Point. (1.19 – 8 – 3) RESULT – 1st.
14.10 – Lingfield – Antiphon. (1.29 – 9 – 3) RESULT – 5th.
15.30 – Musselburgh – Holmes St Georges. (1.33 – 11 – 3) 4 TBP at 1.18. RESULT – 1st.