4th February 2022 + Doc’s Fav Goldmine + Summary

** Club Notes**

Be careful if races start close to each other. You may not get the results of the race you placed a bet on before the next race starts, so do try to either watch a Live Feed of the race or “watch” the race in real-time at Betfair. **

For Tripler, OBAD, and Ratchet, I use the 3 selections generated by the HRP software, assess each one, and then say what I am going to do. Obviously, you can make your own decisions as to what you think the outcomes will be. Sometimes, the result of a previous race will dictate whether I stick with my predictions or not. The automated HRP spreadsheet determines your next stake, based on the result of the previous race and is geared at helping you hit your daily target.

My new system, Doc’s Fav Goldmine, is coming along nicely and I have had many winners on the spin. My small stakes have increased in size, due to a constant supply of winning selections 🙂 My DFG Bank is now really building nicely. I only started keeping accurate records since April 1st, 2021. In the first 3 months, my Bank has increased 630.77%. However, as the stake is 10% of the Betting Bank, any losses do hit hard but I have always caught up rapidly before moving ahead again.

I ALWAYS stop betting if I hit my target of 2.5% (or as near as dammit.) Use your common sense – if you get close to your personal target, it’s your decision as to whether you want to carry on & go for it. Personally, I learned the harsh lesson of being greedy, and many times, when just under my target, I have “Gone for it,” only to lose the lot chasing bigger profits.

It’s your call as to whether you take the early odds, hoping they will then go down, or wait until nearer the off hoping the odds have increased. The key thing to remember is a winner (or winners) at odds totaling 1.25 or above will hit your Daily Target. A profit of 2.5% per day will double your Bank in a month.

As a non-horse racing expert, it still amazes me that in a race with only 4, 5, or 6 runners where there is a massive favourite, you can still occasionally pick up superb Place Odds in excess of those required to hit your target. To my horse racing thicko’s mind, this is what I call a NO BRAINER.

 

As Albert Einstein allegedly said: “Compound Interest is the 8th Wonder Of The World.”

 

STAY SAFE FELLAS.

 

** NB. A SPLIT bet is normally divided into 25% for the WIN and 75% for the PLACE. (ie. 1/3.) If I mention a 2/2 split, it means 50% for the WIN and 50% for the PLACE. **

To keep you up to speed – both my brothers have had Covid, one of them really seriously. Fortunately, they are both fine, but I feel a bit of a fraud as I haven’t contracted it yet and feel a bit guilty and helpless because I just sit at home and take the dogs out. (Although this is probably the safest thing to do.)

As I recently retired with quite a bit of spare time on my hands, I wanted to try and do my bit to help our NHS, so I trained as a Covid-19 Volunteer and have already done a few shifts. I appreciate that I have had to leave early – sometimes before data has come through – but I feel I am doing the right thing as there are too many people suffering from this dreadful disease.

I hope you understand and I hope, that as a friendly and caring community of HRP guys, you bear with me for the short term. I will ALWAYS endeavour to post whenever it is at all possible.

 

 

TODAY’S HRP SELECTIONS

 

TRIPLER

13.00 – Catterick – Collingham. (89) – A good horse but is up against some decent opposition. SPLIT.

14.15 – Lingfield – Unforgiving Minute. (69) – Only 5 runners and terrific Place Odds. SPLIT.

15.10 – Catterick – American Gerry. (77) – A really steady performer, constantly finishing right at the top. This is a weaker race than normal, so I’m looking at a WIN.

 

OBAD

13.00 – Catterick – Collingham. (89) – A good horse but is up against some decent opposition. SPLIT.

 

RATCHET – Same selections as Tripler but in the PLACE MARKET. Instructions for use: http://bit.ly/35tpfR

 

DOC’S FAV GOLDMINE

  • All selections are in the PLACE market.
  • Stop at a profit of 2.5% per day. (Or as near as.)
  • Use 10% of your Bank as stake.
  • If a loss occurs, keep to the last stake and not 10% of the new, reduced Bank.

I am showing the early Place Odds in brackets together with the number of runners and the number of horses to be placed. It’s your decision as to whether or not you take the early odds or wait, hoping they will increase. The key thing to remember is a winner/winners at odds totaling 1.25 or above will hit your Daily Target. A profit of 2.5% per day will double your Bank every month.

Please be prepared to change your line of thinking – “on the hoof” so to speak – if the odds move dramatically. They may drift, thus making the selection a “No Bet”, or the odds may steam in, making it not worth taking the risk.

From now on, I will now show the odds for the EXTRA PLACE (and occasionally, 2 TBP)  if the prices have merit. This is for those who want a little extra security and are prepared to accept lower odds for the Extra Place, and better odds if it’s well fancied on the 2 TBP market.

14.15 – Lingfield – Firmament. (1.24 – 4 – 2)

16.10 – Newcastle – Dragons Will Rise. (1.25 – 9 – 3)

16.15 – Catterick – Nocte Volatus. (1.12 – 10 – 3)

18.30 – Dundalk – Giuliana. (1.23 – 11 – 3)

 

 

YESTERDAY’S SUMMARY

Awesome day’s results after spending a few days at the Covid-19 stations. Good to be back “in the saddle.” I may have been a bit cautious with my selections on Tripler, but I’m a cautious guy and anyway, all three won their respective races for a superb day’s betting. The three 1st place results meant wins as well on OBAD and Ratchet.

When I looked at the early prices on Race 1 for Doc’s Fav Goldmine, the Place Odds were 1.63. I left it until later and the odds had come down to 1.54. Nevertheless, it came second and gave me a great return. So much so, it meant I stopped for the day. Good job, cos the div of a jockey slid off his seat in Race 2. Races 3 and 4 both won.

MartinDonoghue763 – A perfect way to describe your question from yesterday.

 

TRIPLER

14.40 – Wincanton – Plenty Of Time. (67) – Only its second race but performed really well on debut, coming 2nd. SPLIT. RESULT – 1st.

15.10 – Wincanton – Honneur D’Ajonc. (60) – Even though the place odds aren’t too brilliant, I’m looking at a SPLIT for this steady plodder. RESULT – 1st.

15.40 – Wincanton – Frere D’Armes. (80) – Fully deserving of the very high HRP score. WIN. RESULT – 1st.

 

OBAD

14.50 – Wincanton – Frere D’Armes. (80) – Fully deserving of the very high HRP score. WIN. RESULT – 1st.

 

RATCHET – RESULTS – 1st, 1st, 1st.

 

DOC’S FAV GOLDMINE

15.50 – Kelso – Firth Of Forth. (1.63- 5 – 2) RESULT – 2nd.

16.20 – Kelso – Famous Bridge. (1.23 – 6 – 2) RESULT – UR.

16.30 – Southwell – Batocchi. (1.33 – 9 – 3) RESULT – 1st.

19.00 – Chelmsford – Alia Choice. (1.54 – 7 – 2) 3 TBP at 1.19. RESULT – 1st.

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