** Club Notes**
Be careful if races start close to each other. You may not get the results of the race you placed a bet on before the next race starts, so do try to either watch a Live Feed of the race or “watch” the race in real-time at Betfair. **
For Tripler, OBAD, and Ratchet, I use the 3 selections generated by the HRP software, assess each one, and then say what I am going to do. Obviously, you can make your own decisions as to what you think the outcomes will be. Sometimes, the result of a previous race will dictate whether I stick with my predictions or not. The automated HRP spreadsheet determines your next stake, based on the result of the previous race and is geared at helping you hit your daily target.
My new system, Doc’s Fav Goldmine, is coming along nicely and I have had many winners on the spin. My small stakes have increased in size, due to a constant supply of winning selections 🙂 My DFG Bank is now really building nicely. I only started keeping accurate records since April 1st, 2021. In the first 3 months, my Bank has increased 630.77%. However, as the stake is 10% of the Betting Bank, any losses do hit hard but I have always caught up rapidly before moving ahead again.
I ALWAYS stop betting if I hit my target of 2.5% (or as near as dammit.) Use your common sense – if you get close to your personal target, it’s your decision as to whether you want to carry on & go for it. Personally, I learned the harsh lesson of being greedy, and many times, when just under my target, I have “Gone for it,” only to lose the lot chasing bigger profits.
It’s your call as to whether you take the early odds, hoping they will then go down, or wait until nearer the off hoping the odds have increased. The key thing to remember is a winner (or winners) at odds totaling 1.25 or above will hit your Daily Target. A profit of 2.5% per day will double your Bank in a month.
As a non-horse racing expert, it still amazes me that in a race with only 4, 5, or 6 runners where there is a massive favourite, you can still occasionally pick up superb Place Odds in excess of those required to hit your target. To my horse racing thicko’s mind, this is what I call a NO BRAINER.
** I am trying out a NEW FEATURE – The “DFG ONE BET A DAY.” This is where I select ONE RACE which I think is the best bet for a good return. I hope it works! 🙂
As Albert Einstein allegedly said: “Compound Interest is the 8th Wonder Of The World.”
STAY SAFE FELLAS.
** NB. A SPLIT bet is normally divided into 25% for the WIN and 75% for the PLACE. (ie. 1/3.) If I mention a 2/2 split, it means 50% for the WIN and 50% for the PLACE. **
To keep you up to speed, I have been really busy and haven’t had the chance to do many posts. I hope you bear with me as I really enjoy my little daily posts and I will endeavour to do them at every opportunity.
Thanks for bearing with me.
Doc.
TODAY’S HRP SELECTIONS
TRIPLER
15.00 – Naas – Flame Bearer. (77) – Looked a great prospect when it won last time out, but this is a step up in class. With current Place Odds over 1.60, I’m looking at a SPLIT.
16.20 – Fontwell – Jett. (77) – Only four runners in this one. Anyone who employs a jockey with a double-barrelled name must be confident! I’m going for our 12 bore to WIN.
16.30 – Naas – Killer Mode. (72) – A HUGE field of 18 runners, which means a lot to consider. Place Odds are hovering around the 1.70 mark, so initially, it’s a SPLIT.
OBAD
16.20 – Fontwell – Jett. (77) – Only four runners in this one. Anyone who employs a jockey with a double-barrelled name must be confident! I’m going for our 12 bore to WIN.
RATCHET – Same selections as Tripler but in the PLACE MARKET. Instructions for use: http://bit.ly/35tpfR
DOC’S FAV GOLDMINE
- All selections are in the PLACE market.
- Stop at a profit of 2.5% per day. (Or as near as.)
- Use 10% of your Bank as stake.
- If a loss occurs, keep to the last stake and not 10% of the new, reduced Bank.
I am showing the early Place Odds in brackets together with the number of runners and the number of horses to be placed. It’s your decision as to whether or not you take the early odds or wait, hoping they will increase. The key thing to remember is a winner/winners at odds totaling 1.25 or above will hit your Daily Target. A profit of 2.5% per day will double your Bank every month.
Please be prepared to change your line of thinking – “on the hoof” so to speak – if the odds move dramatically. They may drift, thus making the selection a “No Bet”, or the odds may steam in, making it not worth taking the risk.
From now on, I will now show the odds for the EXTRA PLACE (and occasionally, 2 TBP) if the prices have merit. This is for those who want a little extra security and are prepared to accept lower odds for the Extra Place, and better odds if it’s well fancied on the 2 TBP market.
Only 3 meetings today and only one selection meets my criteria. No need for a DFG OBAD today.
17.30 – Naas – Sandor Clegane. (1.23 – 6 – 2) ** Odds are expected to rise a bit. **
YESTERDAY’S SUMMARY
Well, what more can be said? All three HRP selections won their races. Fantastic day for Tripler, OBAD, and Ratchet.
Doc’s Fav Goldmine had a larger than normal number of selections and we got fantastic results. In Race 1, I felt really confident, so I went for my full stake on the 3 TBP market at 1.28 and I also put 50% of my stake on the 2 TBP market at 1.70. With the horse finishing 2nd, I won on both bets, had a superb return percentage-wise, and stopped betting for the day. Awesome. 🙂
TRIPLER
12.35 – Chepstow – Marco Island. (92) – Beaten into 2nd place in its last outing by a far superior beast. Ours is really well up for this in conditions it should find more suitable. WIN. RESULT – 1st.
13.35 – Newcastle – Barrichello. (77) – This should be a stroll in the park for our ex-Formula one diddy man. WIN. RESULT – 1st.
14.45 – Newcastle – Fonzerelli. (82) – Should win but it has terrific Place Odds, so I will leave this until I know the results of Races 1 & 2. WAIT. RESULT – 1st.
OBAD
12.35 – Chepstow – Marco Island. (92) – Beaten into 2nd place in its last outing by a far superior beast. Ours is really well up for this in conditions it should find more suitable. WIN. RESULT – 1st.
RATCHET – RESULTS – 1st, 1st, 1st.
DOC’S FAV GOLDMINE
13.00 – Lingfield – Phoenix Aquilus. (1.70 – 7 – 2) 3 TBP at 1.28. RESULT – 2nd.
14.05 – Lingfield – Lord North. (1.14 – 7 – 3) RESULT – 2nd.
14.33 – Fairyhouse – John Cannon. (1.22 – 7 – 2) RESULT – 2nd.
15.50 – Newcastle – Soft Risk. (1.61 – 6 – 2) 3 TBP at 1.22. RESULT – 2nd.
16.35 – Chepstow – Marty Byrde. (1.57 – 7 – 2) 3 TBP at 1.26. RESULT – 3rd.
18.15 – Wolverhampton – Watermelon Sugar. (1.22 – 8 – 3) RESULT – 1st.
DFG OBAD
14.33 – Fairyhouse – John Cannon. (1.22 – 7 – 2) RESULT – 2nd.