** Club Notes**
Be careful if races start close to each other. You may not get the results of the race you placed a bet on before the next race starts, so do try to either watch a Live Feed of the race or “watch” the race in real-time at Betfair. **
For Tripler, OBAD, and Ratchet, I use the 3 selections generated by the HRP software, assess each one, and then say what I am going to do. Obviously, you can make your own decisions as to what you think the outcomes will be. Sometimes, the result of a previous race will dictate whether I stick with my predictions or not. The automated HRP spreadsheet determines your next stake, based on the result of the previous race and is geared at helping you hit your daily target.
My new system, Doc’s Fav Goldmine, is coming along nicely and I have had many winners on the spin. My small stakes have increased in size, due to a constant supply of winning selections 🙂 My DFG Bank is now really building nicely. I only started keeping accurate records since April 1st, 2021. In the first 3 months, my Bank has increased 630.77%. However, as the stake is 10% of the Betting Bank, any losses do hit hard but I have always caught up rapidly before moving ahead again.
I ALWAYS stop betting if I hit my target of 2.5% (or as near as dammit.) Use your common sense – if you get close to your personal target, it’s your decision as to whether you want to carry on & go for it. Personally, I learned the harsh lesson of being greedy, and many times, when just under my target, I have “Gone for it,” only to lose the lot chasing bigger profits.
It’s your call as to whether you take the early odds, hoping they will then go down, or wait until nearer the off hoping the odds have increased. The key thing to remember is a winner (or winners) at odds totaling 1.25 or above will hit your Daily Target. A profit of 2.5% per day will double your Bank in a month.
As a non-horse racing expert, it still amazes me that in a race with only 4, 5, or 6 runners where there is a massive favourite, you can still occasionally pick up superb Place Odds in excess of those required to hit your target. To my horse racing thicko’s mind, this is what I call a NO BRAINER.
I am trying out a NEW FEATURE – The “DFG ONE BET A DAY – OBAD” This is for those people who don’t have time to wait for several races and where I select ONE RACE which I think is the best bet for a good return. I hope it works! 🙂
As Albert Einstein allegedly said: “Compound Interest is the 8th Wonder Of The World.”
STAY SAFE FELLAS.
** NB. A SPLIT bet is normally divided into 25% for the WIN and 75% for the PLACE. (ie. 1/3.) If I mention a 2/2 split, it means 50% for the WIN and 50% for the PLACE. (ie. 2/2.) **
To keep you up to speed, I have been really busy and haven’t had the chance to do many posts. I hope you bear with me as I really enjoy my little daily posts and I will endeavour to do them at every opportunity.
Thanks for bearing with me.
Doc.
TODAY’S HRP SELECTIONS
TRIPLER
13.45 – Ludlow – Choral Work. (73) – Can be summed up as “Best of the rest.” SPLIT.
16.20 – Hexham – Ruby Island. (59) – A bit of an underwhelming kind of race. Amongst the favourites but not too inspiring. SPLIT.
16.40 – Ludlow – Hector Javilex. (77) – Only 4 in this encounter and the big worry is Kayf Taoi. I’m going to stick my neck out for a WIN.
OBAD
16.40 – Ludlow – Hector Javilex. (77) – Only 4 in this encounter and the big worry is Kayf Taoi. I’m going to stick my neck out for a WIN.
RATCHET
Same selections as Tripler but in the PLACE MARKET. Instructions for use: http://bit.ly/35tpfR
DOC’S FAV GOLDMINE
- All selections are in the PLACE market.
- Stop at a profit of 2.5% per day. (Or as near as.)
- Use 10% of your Bank as stake.
- If a loss occurs, keep to the last stake and not 10% of the new, reduced Bank.
I am showing the early Place Odds in brackets together with the number of runners and the number of horses to be placed. It’s your decision as to whether or not you take the early odds or wait, hoping they will increase. The key thing to remember is a winner/winners at odds totaling 1.25 or above will hit your Daily Target. A profit of 2.5% per day will double your Bank every month.
Please be prepared to change your line of thinking – “on the hoof” so to speak – if the odds move dramatically. They may drift, thus making the selection a “No Bet”, or the odds may steam in, making it not worth taking the risk.
From now on, I will now show the odds for the EXTRA PLACE (and occasionally, 2 TBP) if the prices have merit. This is for those who want a little extra security and are prepared to accept lower odds for the Extra Place, and better odds if it’s well fancied on the 2 TBP market.
No data in yet so at the moment, I can’t make any predictions.
YESTERDAY’S SUMMARY
Hmmm. Strange day. Race 1 on Tripler only had 3 runners & ours came 2nd. Race 2 pulled us back before the 2 horse Race 3 came 2nd. OBAD was a loser and there was only 1 qualifying race for Ratchet, which won.
Doc’s Fav Goldmine had a decent day. Races 1, 3 & 4 were straight Place Wins for us, and if you went with my recommendation for the 3 TBP in Race 2, you would have had another great day.
DFG OBAD was a winner if you went with my suggestion of the 3 TBP.
TRIPLER
13.53 – Carlisle – Gredin. (87) – Only 3 runners & we’re in a straight battle with Palm Beach. I think ours will show who’s the boss. WIN. RESULT – 2nd.
15.10 – Doncaster – Dawn Of Liberation. (72) – 10 runners in this 7-furlong sprint. Ours will break the tapes. WIN. RESULT – 1st.
16.30 – Ascot – Adrien Du Pont. (75) – It’s a toss of the coin in this one as there are only 2 runners. Heads I WIN. RESULT – 2nd.
OBAD
13.53 – Carlisle – Gredin. (87) – Only 3 runners & we’re in a straight battle with Palm Beach. I think ours will show who’s the boss. WIN. RESULT – 2nd.
RATCHET – RESULT – 1st.
DOC’S FAV GOLDMINE
14.10 – Ascot – Thyme White. (1.29 – 5 – 2) RESULT – 2nd.
15.26 – Limerick – Egality Mans. (1.62 – 6 – 2) 3 TBP @ 1.27. RESULT – 3rd.
16.11 – Carlisle – Art Of Diplomacy. (1.39 – 4 – 2) RESULT – 2nd.
17.15 – Carlisle – Coniston Clouds – (1.41 – 5 – 2) RESULT – 2nd.
DFG OBAD
15.26 – Limerick – Egality Mans. (1.62 – 6 – 2) 3 TBP @ 1.27. RESULT – 3rd.