** Club Notes**
Be careful if races start close to each other. You may not get the results of the race you placed a bet on before the next race starts, so do try to either watch a Live Feed of the race or “watch” the race in real-time at Betfair. **
For Tripler, OBAD, and Ratchet, I use the 3 selections generated by the HRP software, assess each one, and then say what I am going to do. Obviously, you can make your own decisions as to what you think the outcomes will be. Sometimes, the result of a previous race will dictate whether I stick with my predictions or not. The automated HRP spreadsheet determines your next stake, based on the result of the previous race and is geared at helping you hit your daily target.
My new system, Doc’s Fav Goldmine, is coming along nicely and I have had many winners on the spin. My small stakes have increased in size, due to a constant supply of winning selections 🙂 My DFG Bank is now really building nicely. I only started keeping accurate records since April 1st, 2021. In the first 3 months, my Bank has increased 630.77%. However, as the stake is 10% of the Betting Bank, any losses do hit hard but I have always caught up rapidly before moving ahead again.
I ALWAYS stop betting if I hit my target of 2.5% (or as near as dammit.) Use your common sense – if you get close to your personal target, it’s your decision as to whether you want to carry on & go for it. Personally, I learned the harsh lesson of being greedy, and many times, when just under my target, I have “Gone for it,” only to lose the lot chasing bigger profits.
It’s your call as to whether you take the early odds, hoping they will then go down, or wait until nearer the off hoping the odds have increased. The key thing to remember is a winner (or winners) at odds totaling 1.25 or above will hit your Daily Target. A profit of 2.5% per day will double your Bank in a month.
As a non-horse racing expert, it still amazes me that in a race with only 4, 5, or 6 runners where there is a massive favourite, you can still occasionally pick up superb Place Odds in excess of those required to hit your target. To my horse racing thicko’s mind, this is what I call a NO BRAINER.
I am trying out a NEW FEATURE – The “DFG ONE BET A DAY – OBAD” This is for those people who don’t have time to wait for several races and where I select ONE RACE which I think is the best bet for a good return. I hope it works! 🙂
As Albert Einstein allegedly said: “Compound Interest is the 8th Wonder Of The World.”
STAY SAFE FELLAS.
** NB. A SPLIT bet is normally divided into 25% for the WIN and 75% for the PLACE. (ie. 1/3.) If I mention a 2/2 split, it means 50% for the WIN and 50% for the PLACE. (ie. 2/2.) **
TODAY’S HRP SELECTIONS
TRIPLER
14.50 – Southwell – Kilbarry Leader. (54) – 11 Runners and very close at the top with not a lot separating the top three. SPLIT.
15.25 – Southwell – Coastguard Station. (72) – Ridden by Lucky Lord Lucan Williams, this rascal is one of the four top runners, but it is a very large field of 14 runners, which always worries me. Excellent Place Odds. So it’s a SPLIT for me.
15.50 – Pontefract – Soul Stopper. (72) – Retired F1 driver, Andrea Atzini is astride our beast today and I think, despite a hybrid engine, he will take the chequered flag. WIN.
OBAD
15.25 – Southwell – Coastguard Station. (72) – Ridden by Lucky Lord Lucan Williams, this rascal is one of the four top runners, but it is a very large field of 14 runners, which always worries me. Excellent Place Odds. So it’s a SPLIT for me.
RATCHET
Same selections as Tripler but in the PLACE MARKET. Instructions for use: http://bit.ly/35tpfR
DOC’S FAV GOLDMINE
- All selections are in the PLACE market.
- Stop at a profit of 2.5% per day. (Or as near as.)
- Use 10% of your Bank as stake.
- If a loss occurs, keep to the last stake and not 10% of the new, reduced Bank.
I am showing the early Place Odds in brackets together with the number of runners and the number of horses to be placed. It’s your decision as to whether or not you take the early odds or wait, hoping they will increase. The key thing to remember is a winner/winners at odds totaling 1.25 or above will hit your Daily Target. A profit of 2.5% per day will double your Bank every month.
Please be prepared to change your line of thinking – “on the hoof” so to speak – if the odds move dramatically. They may drift, thus making the selection a “No Bet”, or the odds may steam in, making it not worth taking the risk.
From now on, I will now show the odds for the EXTRA PLACE (and occasionally, 2 TBP) if the prices have merit. This is for those who want a little extra security and are prepared to accept lower odds for the Extra Place, and better odds if it’s well fancied on the 2 TBP market.
I am trying out a NEW FEATURE – The “DFG ONE BET A DAY – OBAD” This is for those people who don’t have time to wait for several races and where I select ONE RACE which I think is the best bet for a good return. I hope it works! 🙂
14.40 – Pontefrect – Injazati. (1.33 – 11 – 3)
16.10 – Exeter – San Agustin. (1.75 – 7 – 2) 3 TBP at 1.30.
DFG OBAD
16.10 – Exeter – San Agustin. (1.75 – 7 – 2) 3 TBP at 1.30.
YESTERDAY’S SUMMARY
Race 1 on Tripler – what a duffer! I think the jockey was too cocky & fell asleep on the job. A measly 2nd place. There was a Non Runner in race 2 and Race 3 came in as expected; 3rd. It was a loss on OBAD, but the 2 remaining horses both finished in the places on Ratchet.
Doc’s Fav Goldmine had 2 “iffy” selections, but both won for us. No DFG OBAD as I wasn’t at all confident in the outcomes.
TRIPLER
13.00 – Redcar – Primrose Ridge. (74) – So far in front, it’s winning next week’s races! WIN. RESULT – 2nd.
13.50 – Kelso – Donny Boy. (62) – Non Runner.
17.15 – Kelso – Doyen Du Bar. (51) – There are two horses that stand head and shoulders above the rest, so our main danger comes from Maughold Head. I’m looking at a SPLIT at decent odds. RESULT – 3rd.
OBAD
13.00 – Redcar – Primrose Ridge. (74) – So far in front, it’s winning next week’s races! WIN. RESULT – 2nd.
RATCHET – RESULTS – 2nd, NR, 3rd.
DOC’S FAV GOLDMINE
With only three meetings today, the following DFG selections are a bit “iffy.” Your decision as to whether you go with them or give it a miss today.
13.50 – Kelso – Masked Crusader. (1.10 in the 2 TBP market.) RESULT – 1st.
16.53 – Redcar – Al Qaasim. (1.36 in the 4 TBP market.) RESULT – 2nd.