** Club Notes**
Be careful if races start close to each other. You may not get the results of the race you placed a bet on before the next race starts, so do try to either watch the race Live, or watch it on Betfair.
For Tripler, OBAD, and Ratchet, I use the 3 selections generated by the HRP software, assess each one, and then say what I am going to do. Obviously, you can make your own decisions as to what you think the outcomes will be. Sometimes, the result of a previous race will dictate whether I stick with my predictions or not. The automated HRP spreadsheet determines your next stake, based on the result of the previous race and is geared at helping you hit your daily target.
My new system, Doc’s Fav Goldmine, is coming along nicely and I have had many winners on the spin. My small stakes have increased in size, due to a constant supply of winning selections 🙂 My DFG Bank is now really building nicely. However, as the stake is 10% of the Betting Bank, any losses do hit hard but I have always caught up rapidly before moving ahead again.
I ALWAYS stop betting if I hit my target of 2.5% (or as near as dammit.) Use your common sense – if you get close to your personal target, it’s your decision as to whether you want to carry on & go for it. Personally, I learned the harsh lesson of being greedy, and many times, when just under my target, I have “Gone for it,” only to lose the lot chasing bigger profits.
It’s your call as to whether you take the early odds, hoping they will then go down, or wait until nearer the off hoping the odds have increased. The key thing to remember is a winner (or winners) at odds totaling 1.25 or above will hit your Daily Target. A profit of 2.5% per day will double your Bank in a month.
2.5% A DAY??? Currently, the BEST Bank savings interest rate on offer is 2.02% A YEAR!!!
As a non-horse racing expert, it still amazes me that in a race with only 4, 5, or 6 runners where there is a massive favourite, you can still occasionally pick up superb Place Odds in excess of those required to hit your target. To my horse racing thicko’s mind, this is what I call a NO BRAINER.
I am trying out a NEW FEATURE – The “DFG ONE BET A DAY – OBAD” This is for those people who don’t have time to wait for several races and where I select ONE RACE A DAY which I think is the best bet for a good return. So far, things are going exceptionally well. 🙂
As Albert Einstein allegedly said: “Compound Interest is the 8th Wonder Of The World.”
STAY SAFE FELLAS.
** NB. A SPLIT bet is normally divided into 25% for the WIN and 75% for the PLACE. (ie. 1/3.) If I mention a 2/2 split, it means 50% for the WIN and 50% for the PLACE. (ie. 2/2.) **
TODAY’S HRP SELECTIONS
TRIPLER
14.45 – Curragh – A Case Of You. (57) – Looking to make it 3 out of 4, but this is quite a close race. Also, my Irish selections tend to bite me in the ass! Excellent Place Odds. SPLIT
15.20 – Curragh – Native Trail. (57) – 6 outings, 5 wins. With Billy “The Boy” Buick riding, I reckon it’s going to be 6 out of 7. WIN.
17.30 – Stratford – Tardree. (60) – Patchy form recently, but due to come good again. Only one main threat and that has weight penalties. WIN.
OBAD
17.30 – Stratford – Tardree. (60) – Patchy form recently, but due to come good again. Only one main threat and that has weight penalties. WIN.
RATCHET
Same selections as Tripler but in the PLACE MARKET. Instructions for use: http://bit.ly/35tpfR3
DOC’S FAV GOLDMINE
- All selections are in the PLACE market.
- Stop at a profit of 2.5% per day. (Or as near as.)
- Use 10% of your Bank as a stake.
- If a loss occurs, keep to the last stake and not 10% of the new, reduced Bank.
I am showing the early Place Odds in brackets together with the number of runners and the number of horses to be placed. It’s your decision as to whether or not you take the early odds or wait, hoping they will increase. The key thing to remember is a winner/winners at odds totaling 1.25 or above will hit your Daily Target. A profit of 2.5% per day will double your Bank every month.
Please be prepared to change your line of thinking – “on the hoof” so to speak – if the odds move dramatically. They may drift, thus making the selection a “No Bet”, or the odds may steam in, making it not worth taking the risk.
From now on, I will now show the odds for the EXTRA PLACE (and occasionally, 2 TBP) if the prices have merit. This is for those who want a little extra security and are prepared to accept lower odds for the Extra Place, and better odds if it’s well fancied on the 2 TBP market.
I am trying out a NEW FEATURE – The “DFG ONE BET A DAY – OBAD” This is for those people who don’t have time to wait for several races and where I select ONE RACE which I think is the best bet for a good return. I hope it works! 🙂
14.10 – Curragh – Tough Talk. (1.45 – 5 – 2)
14.35 – Haydock – Mighty Ulysses. (1.43 – 10 – 3) 4 TBP at 1.22.
18.30 – Stratford – Arthurs Seat. (1.28 – 4 – 2)
DFG OBAD
14.10 – Curragh – Tough Talk. (1.45 – 5 – 2)
YESTERDAY’S SUMMARY
Not the most auspicious of starts, with a poor 6th place in Race 1 on Tripler. What a duffer! Race 2 followed up with a second place after I went for the win. Another loser failing to make an impression in the race! Only Race 3 won and it was a massive favourite. The OBAD selection won and on Ratchet, Races 2 & 3 came in for us after the poor showing in Race 1.
Doc’s Fav Goldmine had a great day. Five selections and the first four all winning for us. The 5th selection was a Non-Runner. Race 1 hit target, so if you had the cahonas to keep going, you had a very nice, profitable day.
DFG OBAD was also another winner.
TRIPLER
13.00 – Goodwood – Kaasib. (69) – 13 runners and quite an open race. Straight away, I’m looking at a SPLIT. A split in the 4 TBP market is looking like a good bet. RESULT – 6th.
16.05 – Bath – Mashaaer. (62) – Has finished second in all 3 starts so far, and with further improvement likely, I think he can go one better. WIN. RESULT – 2nd.
18.55 – Worcester – Fountains Chief. (72) – Obvious danger is Sporty Jim in this 5-horse shoot-out. Well capable of doing the job. WIN. RESULT – 1st.
OBAD
18.55 – Worcester – Fountains Chief. (72) – Obvious danger is Sporty Jim in this 5-horse shoot-out. Well capable of doing the job. WIN. RESULT – 1st.
RATCHET – RESULTS – 6th, 2nd, 1st.
DOC’S FAV GOLDMINE
14.45 – Goodwood – Montassib. (1.32 – 9 – 3) RESULT – 1st.
16.05 – Bath – Mashaaer. (1.14 – 6 – 2) RESULT – 2nd.
16.55 – Curragh – Waterville. (1.12 – 9 – 3) RESULT – 3rd.
17.25 – Curragh – Hannibal Barca. (1.42 – 7 – 2) RESULT – 1st.
18.55 – Worcester – Sporty Jim. (1.16 – 5 – 2) RESULT – Non Runner.
DFG OBAD
17.25 – Curragh – Hannibal Barca. (1.42 – 7 – 2) RESULT – 1st.