** Club Notes**
Be careful if races start close to each other. You may not get the results of the race you placed a bet on before the next race starts, so do try to either watch the race Live, or watch it on Betfair.
For Tripler, OBAD, and Ratchet, I use the 3 selections generated by the HRP software, assess each one, and then say what I am going to do. Obviously, you can make your own decisions as to what you think the outcomes will be. Sometimes, the result of a previous race will dictate whether I stick with my predictions or not. The automated HRP spreadsheet determines your next stake, based on the result of the previous race and is geared at helping you hit your daily target.
My new system, Doc’s Fav Goldmine, is coming along nicely and I have had many winners on the spin. My small stakes have increased in size, due to a constant supply of winning selections 🙂 My DFG Bank is now really building nicely. However, as the stake is 10% of the Betting Bank, any losses do hit hard but I have always caught up rapidly before moving ahead again.
I ALWAYS stop betting if I hit my target of 2.5% (or as near as dammit.) Use your common sense – if you get close to your personal target, it’s your decision as to whether you want to carry on & go for it. Personally, I learned the harsh lesson of being greedy, and many times, when just under my target, I have “Gone for it,” only to lose the lot chasing bigger profits.
It’s your call as to whether you take the early odds, hoping they will then go down, or wait until nearer the off hoping the odds have increased. The key thing to remember is a winner (or winners) at odds totaling 1.25 or above will hit your Daily Target. A profit of 2.5% per day will double your Bank in a month.
2.5% A DAY??? Currently, the BEST Bank savings interest rate on offer is 2.02% A YEAR!!!
As a non-horse racing expert, it still amazes me that in a race with only 4, 5, or 6 runners where there is a massive favourite, you can still occasionally pick up superb Place Odds in excess of those required to hit your target. To my horse racing thicko’s mind, this is what I call a NO BRAINER.
I am trying out a NEW FEATURE – The “DFG ONE BET A DAY – OBAD” This is for those people who don’t have time to wait for several races and where I select ONE RACE A DAY which I think is the best bet for a good return. So far, things are going exceptionally well. 🙂
As Albert Einstein allegedly said: “Compound Interest is the 8th Wonder Of The World.”
** NB. A SPLIT bet is normally divided into 25% for the WIN and 75% for the PLACE. (ie. 1/3.) If I mention a 2/2 split, it means 50% for the WIN and 50% for the PLACE. (ie. 2/2.) **
I will also be adding the current prices available for Tripler & OBAD.
For those who may be a little more cautious when using Doc’s Fav Goldmine, you may want to follow Dave & Gav’s C20 staking plan:
- Divide your Total Betting Fund into 4 equal segments. (25% per segment.)
- One segment – (25%) is used as your Frontline Betting Bank with either 10% or 20% as your stake. (Your choice.) 75% is held in reserve in case of a major loss.
- Any winnings are added to your Total Betting Bank and then the whole process of splitting into 4 segments starts again for the new day.
- You will need to use Gav’s Spreadsheet in order to calculate the stakes for bets. (If not a VIP member, you may want to stick with 10% of your Betting Bank as your stake, then follow rules 1 – 3 above.)
TODAY’S HRP SELECTIONS
TRIPLER
13.25 – Newmarket – Metahorse. (64) – Four vying for the role of favourite. Ours is a bit of a newcomer, so I’m not expecting miracles. SPLIT. (3.55 & 1.83)
15.10 – Newmarket – Sea Tsarina. (79) – Won first time out 2 weeks ago. Showed that there’s a lot to come. WIN. (1.54)
15.55 – Newcastle- Lion Of War. (66) – Big danger comes from Post Office Road (the home of Featherstone Rovers RLFC.) A shortish race so I hope ours can nudge the tapes first. WIN. (1.86)
OBAD
15.10 – Newmarket – Sea Tsarina. (79) – Won first time out 2 weeks ago. Showed that there’s a lot to come. WIN. (1.54)
RATCHET
Same selections as Tripler but in the PLACE MARKET. Instructions for use: http://bit.ly/35tpfR3
DOC’S FAV GOLDMINE
- All selections are in the PLACE market.
- Stop at a profit of 2.5% per day. (Or as near as.)
- Use 10% of your Bank as a stake.
- If a loss occurs, keep to the last stake and not 10% of the new, reduced Bank.
I am showing the early Place Odds in brackets together with the number of runners and the number of horses to be placed. It’s your decision as to whether or not you take the early odds or wait, hoping they will increase. The key thing to remember is a winner/winners at odds totaling 1.25 or above will hit your Daily Target. A profit of 2.5% per day will double your Bank every month.
Please be prepared to change your line of thinking – “on the hoof” so to speak – if the odds move dramatically. They may drift, thus making the selection a “No Bet”, or the odds may steam in, making it not worth taking the risk.
From now on, I will now show the odds for the EXTRA PLACE (and occasionally, 2 TBP) if the prices have merit. This is for those who want a little extra security and are prepared to accept lower odds for the Extra Place, and better odds if it’s well fancied on the 2 TBP market.
I am trying out a NEW FEATURE – The “DFG ONE BET A DAY – OBAD” This is for those people who don’t have time to wait for several races and where I select ONE RACE which I think is the best bet for a good return. I hope it works! 🙂
For those who may be a little more cautious when using Doc’s Fav Goldmine, you may want to follow Dave & Gav’s C20 staking plan:
- Divide your Total Betting Fund into 4 equal segments. (25% per segment.)
- One segment – (25%) is used as your Frontline Betting Bank with either 10% or 20% as your stake. (Your choice.) 75% is held in reserve in case of a major loss.
- Any winnings are added to your Total Betting Bank and then the whole process of splitting into 4 segments starts again for the new day.
- You will need to use Gav’s Spreadsheet in order to calculate the stakes for bets. (If not a VIP member, you may want to stick with 10% of your Betting Bank as your stake, then follow rules 1 – 3 above.)
13.10 – Nottingham – Tuddenham Mill. (1.29 – 10 – 3)
14.45 – Newcastle – Shining Blue. (1.33 – 6 – 2)
15.55 – Newcastle – Lion Of War. (1.24 – 6 – 2)
17.15 – Leicester – Naval Power. (1.30 – 5 – 2)
19.30 – Hamilton – King Of Ice. (1.17 – 9 -2)
20.00 – Hamilton – Amanzoe. (1.22 – 4 – 2)
DFG OBAD
15.55 – Newcastle – Lion Of War. (1.24 – 6 – 2)
YESTERDAY’S SUMMARY
Finished the day exactly as predicted. The Split calls in Races 1 & 3 were just as I thought and we had a winner in Race 2, just as I thought. The OBAD split came in and we got all three in the places on Ratchet.
Doc’s Fav Goldmine had three selections and all three won their races. A terrific day, all at good odds.
Another win for DFG OBAD.
TRIPLER
15.35 – Worcester – Chess Player. (69) – Hasn’t won a race and only ran 3 days ago. Now, I’m no horse racing whiz, but isn’t a 3-day gap a bit short? SPLIT. (2.82 & 1.37) RESULT – 2nd.
15.55 – Carlisle – Oscula. (64) – A 7-furlong race and I expect ours to do the business. WIN. (2.90) RESULT – 1st.
18.50 – Kempton – Explicit. (65) – Although the favourite AND ridden by Hollie Doyle, I’m not sure it will win. SPLIT. (2.24 & 1.41) RESULT – 2nd.
OBAD
15.35 – Worcester – Chess Player. (69) – Hasn’t won a race and only ran 3 days ago. Now, I’m no horse racing whiz, but isn’t a 3-day gap a bit short? SPLIT. (2.82 & 1.37) RESULT – 2nd.
RATCHET – RESULTS – 2nd, 1st, 2nd.
DOC’S FAV GOLDMINE
15.45 – Salisbury – Asaassi. (1.33 – 6 – 2) RESULT – 1st.
16.20 – Salisbury – First Officer. (1.23 – 3 – 2) RESULT – 1st.
19.30 – Bath – Three Priests. (1.24 – 6 – 2) RESULT – 1st.
DFG OBAD
16.20 – Salisbury – First Officer. (1.23 – 3 – 2) RESULT – 1st.