** Club Notes**
Be careful if races start close to each other. You may not get the results of the race you placed a bet on before the next race starts, so do try to either watch the race Live, or watch it on Betfair.
For Tripler, OBAD, and Ratchet, I use the 3 selections generated by the HRP software, assess each one, and then say what I am going to do. Obviously, you can make your own decisions as to what you think the outcomes will be. Sometimes, the result of a previous race will dictate whether I stick with my predictions or not. The automated HRP spreadsheet determines your next stake, based on the result of the previous race and is geared at helping you hit your daily target.
My new system, Doc’s Fav Goldmine, is coming along nicely and I have had many winners on the spin. My small stakes have increased in size, due to a constant supply of winning selections 🙂 My DFG Bank is now really building nicely. However, as the stake is 10% of the Betting Bank, any losses do hit hard but I have always caught up rapidly before moving ahead again.
I ALWAYS stop betting if I hit my target of 2.5% (or as near as dammit.) Use your common sense – if you get close to your personal target, it’s your decision as to whether you want to carry on & go for it. Personally, I learned the harsh lesson of being greedy, and many times, when just under my target, I have “Gone for it,” only to lose the lot chasing bigger profits.
It’s your call as to whether you take the early odds, hoping they will then go down, or wait until nearer the off hoping the odds have increased. The key thing to remember is a winner (or winners) at odds totaling 1.25 or above will hit your Daily Target. A profit of 2.5% per day will double your Bank in a month.
2.5% A DAY??? Currently, the BEST Bank savings interest rate on offer is 2.02% A YEAR!!!
As a non-horse racing expert, it still amazes me that in a race with only 4, 5, or 6 runners where there is a massive favourite, you can still occasionally pick up superb Place Odds in excess of those required to hit your target. To my horse racing thicko’s mind, this is what I call a NO BRAINER.
I am trying out a NEW FEATURE – The “DFG ONE BET A DAY – OBAD” This is for those people who don’t have time to wait for several races and where I select ONE RACE A DAY which I think is the best bet for a good return. So far, things are going exceptionally well. 🙂
As Albert Einstein allegedly said: “Compound Interest is the 8th Wonder Of The World.”
** NB. A SPLIT bet is normally divided into 25% for the WIN and 75% for the PLACE. (ie. 1/3.) If I mention a 2/2 split, it means 50% for the WIN and 50% for the PLACE. (ie. 2/2.) **
I will also be adding the current prices available for Tripler & OBAD.
For those who may be a little more cautious when using Doc’s Fav Goldmine, you may want to follow Dave & Gav’s C20 staking plan:
- Divide your Total Betting Fund into 4 equal segments. (25% per segment.)
- One segment – (25%) is used as your Frontline Betting Bank with either 10% or 20% as your stake. (Your choice.) 75% is held in reserve in case of a major loss.
- Any winnings are added to your Total Betting Bank and then the whole process of splitting into 4 segments starts again for the new day.
- You will need to use Gav’s Spreadsheet in order to calculate the stakes for bets. (If not a VIP member, you may want to stick with 10% of your Betting Bank as your stake, then follow rules 1 – 3 above.)
TODAY’S HRP SELECTIONS
TRIPLER
14.40 – Yarmouth – Terrimia. (74) – Nearest rival, Michaelas Boy, is penalised weight-wise and ours had a stonker of a race last time out. WIN. (1.42.)
17.45 – Kempton – Kinta. (69) – A much closer race and I am sticking my neck out & going for a WIN. (2.08.)
18.15 – Kempton – Golden Lyra. (82) – Third outing for ours. A great debut win followed by a terrific 2nd place against far superior opposition proves ours has plenty of class & should walk this race. WIN. (1.48.)
OBAD
18.15 – Kempton – Golden Lyra. (82) – Third outing for ours. A great debut win followed by a terrific 2nd place against far superior opposition proves ours has plenty of class & should walk this race. WIN. (1.48.)
RATCHET
Same selections as Tripler but in the PLACE MARKET. Instructions for use: http://bit.ly/35tpfR3
DOC’S FAV GOLDMINE
- All selections are in the PLACE market.
- Stop at a profit of 2.5% per day. (Or as near as.)
- Use 10% of your Bank as a stake.27
- If a loss occurs, keep to the last stake and not 10% of the new, reduced Bank.
For those who may be a little more cautious when using Doc’s Fav Goldmine, you may want to follow Dave & Gav’s C20 staking plan:
- Divide your Total Betting Fund into 4 equal segments. (25% per segment.)
- One segment – (25%) is used as your Frontline Betting Bank with either 10% or 20% as your stake. (Your choice.) 75% is held in reserve in case of a major loss.
- Any winnings are added to your Total Betting Bank and then the whole process of splitting into 4 segments starts again for the new day.
- You will need to use Gav & Dave’s Spreadsheet to calculate your stakes. (If not a VIP member, you may want to stick with 10% of your Betting Bank as your stake, then follow rules 1 – 3 above.)
I am showing the early Place Odds in brackets together with the number of runners and the number of horses to be placed. It’s your decision as to whether or not you take the early odds or wait, hoping they will increase. The key thing to remember is a winner/winners at odds totaling 1.25 or above will hit your Daily Target. A profit of 2.5% per day will double your Bank every month.
Please be prepared to change your line of thinking – “on the hoof” so to speak – if the odds move dramatically. They may drift, thus making the selection a “No Bet”, or the odds may steam in, making it not worth taking the risk.
From now on, I will now show the odds for the EXTRA PLACE (and occasionally, 2 TBP) if the prices have merit. This is for those who want a little extra security and are prepared to accept lower odds for the Extra Place, and better odds if it’s well fancied on the 2 TBP market.
I am trying out a NEW FEATURE – The “DFG ONE BET A DAY – OBAD” This is for those people who don’t have time to wait for several races and where I select ONE RACE which I think is the best bet for a good return. I hope it works! 🙂
13.50 – Catterick – Dunnington Lad. (1.20 – 4 – 2)
14.40 – Yarmouth – Terrimia. (1.14 – 6 – 2)
15.10 – Yarmouth – Sea Galaxy. (1.21 – 5 – 2)
16.50 – Catterick – Dreamcasing. (1.31 – 10 – 3) 4 TBP at 1.18.
DFG OBAD
13.50 – Catterick – Dunnington Lad. (1.20 – 4 – 2)
YESTERDAY’S SUMMARY
Strange day. On Tripler, thank goodness we had a target-beating winner in Race 1, before the worst performance in 2 years in Race 2. THIRTEENTH!!! Race 3 also lost, but at odds of 1.64, race 1 did the business. OBAD won and on Ratchet, Races 1 & 3 came in, sandwiched by the horror show in Race 2.
Three selections today for Doc’s Fav Goldmine and we ended up again, with all 3 winning for us. Odds of 1.31, 1.47 & 1.15 – very nice indeed!
DFG OBAD won for us at luvverly odds of 1.31.
TRIPLER
18.00 – Uttoxeter – Mandocello. (57) – After 12 months without running, he has come back with a big bang. I expect another top performance today. WIN. (1.64 – 9 – 3) RESULT – 1st.
18.20 – Ffos Las – Constitution. (52) – Rather a large field of 13 in this 6-furlong sprint, so expect anything. SPLIT. (2.58 & 1.39) RESULT – 13th.
20.20 – Ffos Las – Al Agaila. (52) – Neck and neck with Caph Star, but will Hollie Doyle provide the magic? I think so. WIN. (2.42) RESULT – 2nd.
OBAD
18.00 – Uttoxeter – Mandocello. (57) – After 12 months without running, he has come back with a big bang. I expect another top performance today. WIN. (1.64 – 9 – 3) RESULT – 1st.
RATCHET – RESULTS – 1st, 13th, 2nd.
DOC’S FAV GOLDMINE
18.10 – Brighton – Coco Jack. (1.31 – 7 – 2) 3 TBP at 1.15. RESULT – 1st.
18.50 – Ffos Las – Shut Up And Dance. (1.47 – 6 – 2) 3 TBP at 1.21. RESULT – 2nd.
20.20 – Ffos Las – Caph Star. (1.15 – 9 – 3) RESULT – 3rd.
DFG OBAD
18.10 – Brighton – Coco Jack. (1.31 – 7 – 2) 3 TBP at 1.15. RESULT – 1st.