11th October 2021 + Doc’s Fav Goldmine + Summary

** House Notes** Be careful if races start close to each other. You may not get the results of the race you placed a bet on before the next race starts, so do try to either watch a Live Feed of the race or “watch” the race in real-time at Betfair. **

For Tripler, OBAD, and Ratchet, I use the 3 selections generated by the HRP software, assess each one, and then say what I am going to do. Obviously, you can make your own decisions as to what you think the outcomes will be. Sometimes, the result of a previous race will dictate whether I stick with my predictions or not. The automated HRP spreadsheet determines your next stake, based on the result of the previous race and is geared at helping you hit your daily target.

My new system, Doc’s Fav Goldmine, is coming along nicely and I have had many winners on the spin. My small stakes have increased in size, due to a constant supply of winning selections 🙂 My DFG Bank is now really building nicely. I only started keeping accurate records since April 1st, 2021. In the first 3 months, my Bank has increased 630.77%. However, as the stake is 10% of the Betting Bank, any losses do hit hard but I have always caught up rapidly before moving ahead again.

I ALWAYS stop betting if I hit my target of 2.5% (or as near as dammit.) Use your common sense – if you get close to your personal target, it’s your decision as to whether you want to carry on & go for it. Personally, I learned the harsh lesson of being greedy, and many times, when just under my target, I have “Gone for it,” only to lose the lot chasing bigger profits.

It’s your call as to whether you take the early odds, hoping they will then go down, or wait until nearer the off hoping the odds have increased. The key thing to remember is a winner (or winners) at odds totaling 1.25 or above will hit your Daily Target. A profit of 2.5% per day will double your Bank in a month.

As a non-horse racing expert, it still amazes me that in a race with only 4, 5 or 6 runners where there is a massive favourite, you can still occasionally pick up superb Place Odds in excess of those required to hit your target. To my horse racing thicko’s mind, this is what I call a NO BRAINER.

 

As Albert Einstein allegedly said: “Compound Interest is the 8th Wonder Of The World.”

 

STAY SAFE FELLAS.

 

TODAY’S HRP SELECTIONS

TRIPLER

13.50 – Musselburgh – Eastern Sherriff. (69) – This horse was absolutely bobbins on its last outing, but great things are expected. Not great enough to suggest to me it’s going to win, but should easily place. SPLIT.

15.00 – Musselburgh – Makanah. (53) – Last won almost exactly a year ago, so in my eyes, this doesn’t bode well. Only 5 furlongs, so would have to be brilliant to win again. Really good place odds. SPLIT.

17.10 – Wolverhampton – Toromona. (51) – Looks initially to be able to romp it home, but I think that there is a huge danger in an outsider called Geminga. It’s my 3rd SPLIT.

 

OBAD

13.50 – Musselburgh – Eastern Sherriff. (69) – This horse was absolutely bobbins on its last outing, but great things are expected. Not great enough to suggest to me it’s going to win, but should easily place. SPLIT.

 

RATCHET – Same selections as Tripler but in the PLACE MARKET. Instructions for use: http://bit.ly/35tpfR

 

DOC’S FAV GOLDMINE

  • All selections are in the PLACE market.
  • Stop at a profit of 2.5% per day. (Or as near as.)
  • Use 10% of your Bank as stake.
  • If a loss occurs, keep to the last stake and not 10% of the new, reduced Bank.

I am also showing the early Place Odds in brackets together with the number of runners and the number of horses to be placed. It’s your decision as to whether or not you take the early odds or wait, hoping they will increase. The key thing to remember is a winner/winners at odds totaling 1.25 or above will hit your Daily Target. A profit of 2.5% per day will double your Bank every month.

Please be prepared to change your line of thinking – “on the hoof” so to speak – if the odds move dramatically. They may drift, thus making the selection a “No Bet”, or the odds may steam in, making it not worth taking the risk.

If you want to, you can omit any bets with odds below 1.25 (or thereabouts) and just concentrate on the bets over those odds. This reduces the number of bets but means if you get a winner, you have hit your target and can stop betting for the day, not having to risk any more money on another race. (It also means, however, if you do get a loser, there will be fewer races left to recoup any losses.)

Because of a strong winning 3 months, the stakes are getting quite serious now. I’m trying to be mega confident in my selections so will be scrutinising them in a little more detail.

From now on, I will now show the odds, where applicable, for the EXTRA PLACE. This is for those who want a little extra security and are prepared to accept lower odds.

13.40 – Wolverhampton – Pocket The Profit. (1.23 – 11 – 3) 4 TBP at 1.14.

13.50 – Musselburgh – Eastern Sherriff. (1.46 – 6 – 2) 3 TBP at 1.17.

15.00 – Musselburgh – Roulston Star. (1.64 – 6 – 2) 3 TBP at 1.28.

18.30 – Kempton – Pinball Wizard. (1.25 – 8 – 3) 4 TBP at 1.12.

 

 

YESTERDAY’S SUMMARY

Another really good day. The 2 x 1st places in Races 1 & 2 meant a nice win on Tripler. The first race also provided a win for OBAD and the 3 place finishes meant for a great day on Ratchet.

Doc’s Fav Goldmine only had 2 selections and both were at really low odds. I did a 50% stake on 2 TBP in Race 1 which won, but the odds for ours in Race 2 dropped, so I didn’t have a bet on the 2nd race. Both selections finished first. 🙂

 

TRIPLER

13.00- Newton Abbot – Skatman. (67) – Won last time out even though not fluent. I expect a more polished performance today. WIN. RESULT – 1st.

13.30 – Newton Abbot – Bravemansgame. (62) – Only 4 runners but there’s quite a rivalry with Fusil Raffles, who may take it. SPLIT. RESULT – 1st.

16.05 – Goodwood – Electress. (64) – A few things are tipping the scales in favour of ours and even though there are 12 runners, I think ours may pull it off. WIN. RESULT – 2nd.

 

OBAD

13.00- Newton Abbot – Skatman. (67) – Won last time out even though not fluent. I expect a more polished performance today. WIN. RESULT – 1st.

 

RATCHET – RESULTS – 1st, 1st, 2nd.

 

DOC’S FAV GOLDMINE

12.50 – Curragh – Tartan Skirt. (1.10 – 8 – 3) 2 TBP at 1.24. RESULT – 1st.

17.05 – Limerick – Agritime. (1.12 – 9 – 3) 2 TBP at 1.31. RESULT – 1st.

** If I ever go for 1 less in the Place Market – eg. 2 TBP rather than the normal 3 – I often reduce my stake to 50%. Whether this is right or wrong, I don’t know, but it makes me feel safer. **

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