18th September 2021 + Doc’s Fav Goldmine + Summary

** House Notes** Be careful if races start close to each other. You may not get the results of the race you placed a bet on before the next race starts, so do try to either watch a Live Feed of the race or “watch” the race in real-time at Betfair. **

For Tripler, OBAD, and Ratchet, I use the 3 selections generated by the HRP software, assess each one, and then say what I am going to do. Obviously, you can make your own decisions as to what you think the outcomes will be. Sometimes, the result of a previous race will dictate whether I stick with my predictions or not. The automated HRP spreadsheet determines your next stake, based on the result of the previous race and is geared at helping you hit your daily target.

My new system, Doc’s Fav Goldmine, is coming along nicely and I have had many winners on the spin. My small stakes have increased in size, due to a constant supply of winning selections 🙂 My DFG Bank is now really building nicely. I only started keeping accurate records since April 1st, 2021. In the first 3 months, my Bank has increased 630.77%. However, as the stake is 10% of the Betting Bank, any losses do hit hard but I have always caught up rapidly before moving ahead again.

I ALWAYS stop betting if I hit my target of 2.5% (or as near as dammit.) Use your common sense – if you get close to your personal target, it’s your decision as to whether you want to carry on & go for it. Personally, I learned the harsh lesson of being greedy, and many times, when just under my target, I have “Gone for it,” only to lose the lot chasing bigger profits.

It’s your call as to whether you take the early odds, hoping they will then go down, or wait until nearer the off hoping the odds have increased. The key thing to remember is a winner (or winners) at odds totaling 1.25 or above will hit your Daily Target. A profit of 2.5% per day will double your Bank in a month.

As a non-horse racing expert, it still amazes me that in a race with only 4, 5 or 6 runners where there is a massive favourite, you can still occasionally pick up superb Place Odds in excess of those required to hit target. To my horse racing thicko’s mind, this is what I call a NO BRAINER.

 

As Albert Einstein allegedly said: “Compound Interest is the 8th Wonder Of The World.”

 

STAY SAFE FELLAS.

 

TODAY’S HRP SELECTIONS

TRIPLER

13.55 – Ayr – Euchen Glen. (65) – Can only be described as a “Threat” to the favourite, Juan Elcano. SPLIT.

14.50 – Newbury – Al Aasy. (69) – Has had a decent recent few months and is considered to be better than the rest, so it’s a WIN.

16.00 – Newbury – Gubbass. (74) – A 10 horse sprint to the line. Although this has our highest HRP score, the chances of an outright victory are considered slim. And with excellent Place Odds, it has to be a SPLIT.

 

OBAD

16.00 – Newbury – Gubbass. (74) – A 10 horse sprint to the line.  Although this has our highest HRP score, the chances of an outright victory are considered slim. And with excellent Place Odds, it has to be a SPLIT.

 

RATCHET – Same selections as Tripler but in the PLACE MARKET. Instructions for use: http://bit.ly/35tpfR

 

DOC’S FAV GOLDMINE

  • All selections are in the PLACE market.
  • Stop at a profit of 2.5% per day. (Or as near as.)
  • Use 10% of your Bank as stake.
  • If a loss occurs, keep to the last stake and not 10% of the new, reduced Bank.

I am also showing the early Place Odds in brackets together with the number of runners and the number of horses to be placed. It’s your decision as to whether or not you take the early odds or wait, hoping they will increase. The key thing to remember is a winner/winners at odds totaling 1.25 or above will hit your Daily Target. A profit of 2.5% per day will double your Bank every month.

Please be prepared to change your line of thinking – “on the hoof” so to speak – if the odds move dramatically. They may drift, thus making the selection a “No Bet”, or the odds may steam in, making it not worth taking the risk.

If you want to, you can omit any bets with odds below 1.25 (or thereabouts) and just concentrate on the bets over those odds. This reduces the number of bets but means if you get a winner, you have hit your target and can stop betting for the day, not having to risk any more money on another race. (It also means, however, if you do get a loser, there will be fewer races left to recoup any losses.)

Because of a strong winning 3 months, the stakes are getting quite serious now. I’m trying to be mega confident in my selections so will be scrutinising them in a little more detail.

14.50 – Newbury – Al Aasy. (1.23 – 5 – 2)

16.35 – Newbury – Koy Koy. (1.26 – 12 – 3)

16.55 – Wolverhampton – Thaki. (1.29 – 11 – 3)

17.15 – Catterick – Old Flame. (1.16 – 4 – 2)

 

 

YESTERDAY’S SUMMARY

Hmmmm. Well, we got a Race 1 winner on Tripler, so I hope you hit, or got very close to your target and stopped for the day. Races 2 & 3 provided us with 2nd & 3rd place. OBAD won and with 2 winners in the 1st 2 races, you should have stopped before the loser in Race 3 on  Ratchet.

On Doc’s Fav Goldmine, King Of Conquest couldn’t conquer anything and finished a measly 3rd out of 4 runners. If I was the jockey, I would be embarrassed to show my face. What a pleb! However, we pulled quite a bit back after the Race 2 win, but then I had a difficult decision to make. The odds for Beholding in Race 3 were way too low to risk my stake. I looked at 2 TBP and the odds were obviously much better. But there were some really good opponents. I made the decision to go for 2 TBP with 50% of my stake. I knew if it finished in the top 2, I would recover a large percentage of the day’s loss from Race 1. It actually won! Anyway, it really doesn’t faze me anymore. I have finally allowed Gav’s teachings to actually sink in. I now no longer look at the fact that I am betting with my money. I just look at my spreadsheet and treat the numbers as figures and not cash.

It is a business. I know I am NOT gambling. It is a strategically calculated method to grow my initial investment by a series of carefully calculated decisions. It does work. 🙂

 

TRIPLER

13.53 – Newton Abbot – Diligent. (92) – Terrific form and all is good to go for another fine race. WIN. RESULT – 1st.

15.03 – Newton Abbot – She’s A Novelty. (87) – Finally got a win last time out after several good performances. I reckon it’s good to go for 2 out of 2. WIN. RESULT – 2nd.

16.45 – Newton Abbot – Eglantine Du Seuil. (77) – Stupid name, but only 4 runners and ours is on a different planet. WIN. RESULT – 3rd.

 

OBAD

13.53 – Newton Abbot – Diligent. (92) – Terrific form and all is good to go for another fine race. WIN. RESULT – 1st.

 

RATCHET – RESULTS – 1st, 2nd, 3rd.

 

DOC’S FAV GOLDMINE

14.55 – Newbury – King Of Conquest. (1.75 – 6 – 2) RESULT – 3rd.

16.35 – Newbury – Neenees Choice. (1.37 – 10 – 3) RESULT – 1st.

18.30 – Kempton – Beholding. (1.14 – 10 – 3) RESULT – 1st.

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