21st September 2021 + Doc’s Fav Goldmine + Summary

** House Notes** Be careful if races start close to each other. You may not get the results of the race you placed a bet on before the next race starts, so do try to either watch a Live Feed of the race or “watch” the race in real-time at Betfair. **

For Tripler, OBAD, and Ratchet, I use the 3 selections generated by the HRP software, assess each one, and then say what I am going to do. Obviously, you can make your own decisions as to what you think the outcomes will be. Sometimes, the result of a previous race will dictate whether I stick with my predictions or not. The automated HRP spreadsheet determines your next stake, based on the result of the previous race and is geared at helping you hit your daily target.

My new system, Doc’s Fav Goldmine, is coming along nicely and I have had many winners on the spin. My small stakes have increased in size, due to a constant supply of winning selections 🙂 My DFG Bank is now really building nicely. I only started keeping accurate records since April 1st, 2021. In the first 3 months, my Bank has increased 630.77%. However, as the stake is 10% of the Betting Bank, any losses do hit hard but I have always caught up rapidly before moving ahead again.

I ALWAYS stop betting if I hit my target of 2.5% (or as near as dammit.) Use your common sense – if you get close to your personal target, it’s your decision as to whether you want to carry on & go for it. Personally, I learned the harsh lesson of being greedy, and many times, when just under my target, I have “Gone for it,” only to lose the lot chasing bigger profits.

It’s your call as to whether you take the early odds, hoping they will then go down, or wait until nearer the off hoping the odds have increased. The key thing to remember is a winner (or winners) at odds totaling 1.25 or above will hit your Daily Target. A profit of 2.5% per day will double your Bank in a month.

As a non-horse racing expert, it still amazes me that in a race with only 4, 5 or 6 runners where there is a massive favourite, you can still occasionally pick up superb Place Odds in excess of those required to hit target. To my horse racing thicko’s mind, this is what I call a NO BRAINER.

 

As Albert Einstein allegedly said: “Compound Interest is the 8th Wonder Of The World.”

 

STAY SAFE FELLAS.

 

TODAY’S HRP SELECTIONS

TRIPLER

13.55 – Beverley – Golden War. (69) – Came 2nd last time out, but has since had his bits chopped off and is using a hood. I guess that makes it run faster? I dunno, but I’m still going for a WIN.

15.45 – Lingfield – Emblem Empire. (72) – Finished 2nd on debut recently, so with the experience gained I reckon he has much room for improvement. WIN.

19.20 – Newcastle – El Hadeeyah. (71) – A much closer affair with 3 having the potential to win. I’m playing it safe with a SPLIT.

 

OBAD

15.45 – Lingfield – Emblem Empire. (72) – Finished 2nd on debut recently, so with the experience gained I reckon he has much room for improvement. WIN.

 

RATCHET – Same selections as Tripler but in the PLACE MARKET. Instructions for use: http://bit.ly/35tpfR

 

DOC’S FAV GOLDMINE

  • All selections are in the PLACE market.
  • Stop at a profit of 2.5% per day. (Or as near as.)
  • Use 10% of your Bank as stake.
  • If a loss occurs, keep to the last stake and not 10% of the new, reduced Bank.

I am also showing the early Place Odds in brackets together with the number of runners and the number of horses to be placed. It’s your decision as to whether or not you take the early odds or wait, hoping they will increase. The key thing to remember is a winner/winners at odds totaling 1.25 or above will hit your Daily Target. A profit of 2.5% per day will double your Bank every month.

Please be prepared to change your line of thinking – “on the hoof” so to speak – if the odds move dramatically. They may drift, thus making the selection a “No Bet”, or the odds may steam in, making it not worth taking the risk.

If you want to, you can omit any bets with odds below 1.25 (or thereabouts) and just concentrate on the bets over those odds. This reduces the number of bets but means if you get a winner, you have hit your target and can stop betting for the day, not having to risk any more money on another race. (It also means, however, if you do get a loser, there will be fewer races left to recoup any losses.)

Because of a strong winning 3 months, the stakes are getting quite serious now. I’m trying to be mega confident in my selections so will be scrutinising them in a little more detail.

15.35 – Beverley – Guilded. (1.12 – 7 – 2)

15.45 – Lingfield – Emblem Empire. (1.18 – 8 – 3) Maybe look at 2 TBP – 1.33.

 

 

YESTERDAY’S SUMMARY

Mythical Dancer ballsed things up for us in Race 1 on Tripler, but fortunately, Race 2 came in as a winner and with the increase in stake, should have hit, or been close enough to stop for the day. Good job because Ultramarine went down like a stone! It was a loss on OBAD, but fortunately, there were 2 wins in the first 2 races on Ratchet. Enough to stop.

Doc’s Fav Goldmine – I nearly had a seizure when I looked at the fast results for Race 1. Sporting Life only showed the 1st 2 places and ours wasn’t there!! I thought this couldn’t be happening – 3 first race losers in 3 days! Fortunately, I realised that (for whatever reason,) Betfair was paying 3 places in this 7 horse race. When I looked at the Full Results, ours scraped home in 3rd place, giving us a Race 1 win. Close enough for me. I stopped as I didn’t want my luck to run out. If you carried on, the next 2 selections both won. 🙂

 

TRIPLER

13.30 – Leicester – Mythical Dancer. (69) – Ran really well recently and has a lot more in reserve. With Billy Buick on board, it’s a WIN. RESULT – 3rd.

13.45 – Hamilton – Commandment. (59) – Finished 2nd & 3rd recently so has the experience to go one better. WIN. RESULT – 1st.

16.37 – Fairyhouse – Ultramarine. (64) – The horse to beat, although the odds don’t reflect that this should be a winner. WIN. RESULT – 5th.

 

OBAD

13.30 – Leicester – Mythical Dancer. (69) – Ran really well recently and has a lot more in reserve. With Billy Buick on board, it’s a WIN. RESULT – 3rd.

 

RATCHET – RESULTS – 3rd, 1st, 5th.

 

DOC’S FAV GOLDMINE

13.30- Leicester – Mythical Dancer. (1.23 – 7 – 3) RESULT – 3rd.

14.10 – Listowel – I A Connect. (1.26 – 14 – 3) RESULT – 1st.

16.55 – Listowel – Bleu Berry. (1.15 – 8 – 3) RESULT – 1st.

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