** House Notes** Be careful if races start close to each other. You may not get the results of the race you placed a bet on before the next race starts, so do try to either watch a Live Feed of the race, or “watch” the race in real time at Betfair. **
For Tripler, OBAD and Ratchet, I use the 3 selections generated by the HRP software, assess each one and then say what I am going to do. Obviously, you can make your own decisions as to what you think the outcomes will be. Sometimes, the result of a previous race will dictate as to whether I stick with my predictions or not.
My new system, Doc’s Fav Goldmine, is showing plenty of promise and I have had several winners on the spin. My small stakes are increasing in size, due to a constant supply of winning selections 🙂 My DFG Bank is now really building nicely. Any losses do hit hard, as it’s 10% of the Betting Bank, but has always caught up rapidly before moving ahead again.
I stop betting if I hit my target of 2.5% (or as near as dammit.) Use your common sense – if you get close to your personal target, it’s your decision as to whether you want to carry on & go for it. Personally, I learned the harsh lesson of being greedy and many times, when just under target, I have “Gone for it,” only to lose the lot chasing bigger profits.
It’s your call as to whether you take the early odds, hoping they will then go down, or wait until nearer the off hoping the odds have increased. The key thing to remember is a winner (or winners) at odds totalling 1.25 or above will hit your Daily Target. A profit of 2.5% per day will double you Bank in a month.
STAY SAFE FELLAS.
TODAY’S “JOCKEY OF THE DAY” : “Popeye” Doyle. 14.45. Curragh. Glen Shiel.
TODAY’S HRP SELECTIONS
TRIPLER
14.45 – Curragh – Glen Shiel. (79) – Hollie “Popeye” Doyle is on board today and what a smooth ride she always gives, quite often coming first. Ours had a terrific year last year but this is the first outing this year. Should win but I’m a bit concerned that he may be a bit rusty. SPLIT.
15.25 – Goodwood – Hukum. (71) – Up against Silvestre de Sous Chef on Morando but should come through to break the tapes first. I’m going for a WIN.
17.40 – Stratford – Restandbethankful. (82) – Had a really good win 2 weeks ago and despite showing a few flaws, is expected to show improvements. WIN.
OBAD
17.40 – Stratford – Restandbethankful. (82) – See Above.
RATCHET – Instructions for use: http://bit.ly/35tpfR
DOC’S FAV GOLDMINE – All selections are in the PLACE market, unless otherwise stated. Stop at a profit of 2.5% per day. (Or as near as.) Use 10% of your Bank as stake. If a loss happens, keep to the last stake and not 10% of the new, reduced Bank.
I am also showing the early Place Odds in brackets, together with the number of runners and the number of horses to be placed. It’s your decision as to whether or not you take the early odds or wait, hoping they will increase. The key thing to remember is a winner/winners at odds totalling 1.25 or above will hit your Daily Target. A profit of 2.5% per day will double you Bank every month.
Please be prepared to change your line of thinking – “on the hoof” so to speak – if the odds move dramatically. They may drift, thus making the selection a “No Bet”, or the odds may steam in, making it not worth taking the risk.
If you want to, you can omit any bets with odds below 1.25 (or thereabouts) and just concentrate on the bets over those odds. This reduces the number of bets but means if you get a winner, you have hit your target and can stop betting for the day, not having to risk any more money on another race.
For those who only want one bet, my BET OF THE DAY is highlighted in bold.
13.25 – Newmarket – Superior Force. (1.30 – 5 – 2)
14.50 – Goodwood – Aldaary. (1.24 – 11 – 3)
15.25 – Goodwood – Hukum. (1.31 – 5 – 2)
YESTERDAY’S SUMMARY
A win on Tripler, (despite the appalling Race 1 effort,) and that doubled up with a win on OBAD. Ratchet had a 1st race loss but pulled some back with races 2 and 3.
Doc’s Fav Goldmine gave me a bit of a scare, with a poor showing in Race 1. I would imagine this dreadful weather had a lot to do with it. I reckon it reduces a highly specialised selection process into a lottery. Because of the 1st race loss – only my 2nd losing bet of the month – I had to carry on with the remaining 3. Fortunately, they all came in and turned a 10% Race 1 loss into a tiny profit for the day. Hell’s Bells – any win is better than a loss!
Big shout out to Jockey of the Day, Hugh “Downton Abbey” Bonneville. I know he only had to beat 2 others but good old Hugh did it very poshly and won the rosette and an Ice Cream cone full of caviar.
TRIPLER
14.05 – Haydock – Dandalla. (60) – SPLIT. RESULT – 6th. (6)
19.10 – Worcester – No Ordinary Joe. (70) – WIN. RESULT – 1st. (3)
19.20 – Catterick – Blind Beggar. (62) – WIN. RESULT – 1st. (7)
OBAD
19.10 – Worcester – No Ordinary Joe. (70) – RESULT – 1st. (3)
RATCHET – RESULTS – 6th, 1st, 1st.
DOC’S FAV GOLDMINE
13.10 – Goodwood – Fall Of Rome. (1.16 – 6 – 2) RESULT – 3rd. (6)
16.25 – Haydock – Wink Of An Eye. (1.39 – 9 – 3) RESULT – 3rd. (7)
19.20 – Catterick – Blind Beggar. (1.24 – 10 – 2) 2 TBP. RESULT – 1st. (7)
19.50 – Catterick – Ehrmann. (1.51 – 7 – 2) RESULT – 2nd. (7)