** House Notes** Be careful if races start close to each other. You may not get the results of the race you placed a bet on before the next race starts, so do try to either watch a Live Feed of the race or “watch” the race in real-time at Betfair. **
For Tripler, OBAD, and Ratchet, I use the 3 selections generated by the HRP software, assess each one, and then say what I am going to do. Obviously, you can make your own decisions as to what you think the outcomes will be. Sometimes, the result of a previous race will dictate whether I stick with my predictions or not. The automated HRP spreadsheet determines your next stake, based on the result of the previous race and is geared at helping you hit your daily target.
My new system, Doc’s Fav Goldmine, is coming along nicely and I have had many winners on the spin. My small stakes have increased in size, due to a constant supply of winning selections 🙂 My DFG Bank is now really building nicely. I only started keeping accurate records since April 1st, 2021. In the first 3 months, my Bank has increased 630.77%. However, as the stake is 10% of the Betting Bank, any losses do hit hard but I have always caught up rapidly before moving ahead again.
I ALWAYS stop betting if I hit my target of 2.5% (or as near as dammit.) Use your common sense – if you get close to your personal target, it’s your decision as to whether you want to carry on & go for it. Personally, I learned the harsh lesson of being greedy, and many times, when just under my target, I have “Gone for it,” only to lose the lot chasing bigger profits.
It’s your call as to whether you take the early odds, hoping they will then go down, or wait until nearer the off hoping the odds have increased. The key thing to remember is a winner (or winners) at odds totaling 1.25 or above will hit your Daily Target. A profit of 2.5% per day will double your Bank in a month.
As a non-horse racing expert, it still amazes me that in a race with only 4, 5, or 6 runners where there is a massive favourite, you can still occasionally pick up superb Place Odds in excess of those required to hit your target. To my horse racing thicko’s mind, this is what I call a NO BRAINER.
As Albert Einstein allegedly said: “Compound Interest is the 8th Wonder Of The World.”
STAY SAFE FELLAS.
** NB. A SPLIT bet is normally divided into 25% for the WIN and 75% for the PLACE. (ie. 1/3.) If I mention a 2/2 split, it means 50% for the WIN and 50% for the PLACE. **
TODAY’S HRP SELECTIONS
TRIPLER
13.20 – Newmarket – Filistine. (54) – Only 7 furlongs but unless one of the others makes massive improvement, Dettori should win this. WIN.
14.05 – Wetherby – Ahoy Senor. (92) – This is a tricky call as there are 3 top performers in this 5 horse race. I’m going to stick my neck out and go for a WIN.
14.30 – Newmarket – Desert Dreamer. (54) – Always the bridesmaid and never the bride. I’m opting for a SPLIT.
OBAD
14.05 – Wetherby – Ahoy Senor. (92) – This is a tricky call as there are 3 top performers in this 5 horse race. I’m going to stick my neck out and go for a WIN.
RATCHET – Same selections as Tripler but in the PLACE MARKET. Instructions for use: http://bit.ly/35tpfR
DOC’S FAV GOLDMINE
- All selections are in the PLACE market.
- Stop at a profit of 2.5% per day. (Or as near as.)
- Use 10% of your Bank as stake.
- If a loss occurs, keep to the last stake and not 10% of the new, reduced Bank.
I am showing the early Place Odds in brackets together with the number of runners and the number of horses to be placed. It’s your decision as to whether or not you take the early odds or wait, hoping they will increase. The key thing to remember is a winner/winners at odds totaling 1.25 or above will hit your Daily Target. A profit of 2.5% per day will double your Bank every month.
Please be prepared to change your line of thinking – “on the hoof” so to speak – if the odds move dramatically. They may drift, thus making the selection a “No Bet”, or the odds may steam in, making it not worth taking the risk.
From now on, I will now show the odds for the EXTRA PLACE (and if it warrants it, 2 TBP) if the prices have merit. This is for those who want a little extra security and are prepared to accept lower odds for the Extra Place, and better odds if it’s well fancied on the 2 TBP market.
13.38 – Uttoxeter – Ten Past Midnight. (1.46 – 13 – 3) 4 TBP at 1.29
14.20 – Down Royal – Zanahiyr. (1.11 – 5 – 2)
19.00 – Kempton – Stubble Field. (1.19 – 12 – 3) 4 TBP at 1.11
19.30 – Kempton – Run To Freedom. (1.30 – 8 – 3) 4 TBP at 1.17.
YESTERDAY’S SUMMARY
Poor day for my Tripler selections. A horse that wouldn’t go into the stalls in Race 1, followed by a 3rd place and a 5th place. It meant a loser as well on OBAD although the Race 2 2nd place hopefully got near your target on Ratchet.
Doc’s Fav Goldmine had a nice place win in Race 1, so I hope at the odds on offer, you hit, or got near to your target and stopped for the day, as I did. Race 2 pulled up, so a loser there. Race 3 was a non-runner and Races 4 & 5 both won for us.
TRIPLER
13.30 – Stratford – Humanitise. (54) – Well fancied and the Bookies’ favourite. But I’m not convinced he’s up to winning this one. Having said that, he looks good for a place. SPLIT. RESULT – Non Runner.
17.30 – Chelmsford – Dynamic Force. (59) – A short sprint and only 8 runners, so that’s not too bad. Has shown decent form and despite a penalty, I think he’s up for this one. WIN. RESULT – 3rd.
19.00 – Chelmsford – Hayadh. (54) – Not used to the all-weather stuff and is up against a few half-decent opponents. SPLIT. RESULT – 5th.
OBAD
17.30 – Chelmsford – Dynamic Force. (59) – A short sprint and only 8 runners, so that’s not too bad. Has shown decent form and despite a penalty, I think he’s up for this one. WIN. RESULT – 3rd.
RATCHET – RESULTS – NR, 3rd,5th.
DOC’S FAV GOLDMINE
13.03 – Lingfield – Rogue Power. (1.36 – 14 – 3) ** 4 TBP at 1.23. RESULT – 2nd.
13.20 – Ffos Las – Zinc White. (1.23 – 9 – 3) RESULT – PU.
13.30 – Stratford – Humanitise. (1.33 – 9 – 3) RESULT – Non Runner.
14.48 – Lingfield – Modern News. (1.14 – 4 – 2) ** Only 4 runners, so already has a 50/50 chance of placing before odds come into it. RESULT – 1st.
15.05 – Ffos Las – Bill Baxter. (1.25 – 8 – 3) RESULT – 2nd.