** Club Notes**
Be careful if races start close to each other. You may not get the results of the race you placed a bet on before the next race starts, so do try to either watch the race Live, or watch it on Betfair.
For Tripler, OBAD, and Ratchet, I use the 3 selections generated by the HRP software, assess each one, and then say what I am going to do. Obviously, you can make your own decisions as to what you think the outcomes will be. Sometimes, the result of a previous race will dictate whether I stick with my predictions or not. The automated HRP spreadsheet determines your next stake, based on the result of the previous race and is geared at helping you hit your daily target.
My new system, Doc’s Fav Goldmine, is coming along nicely and I have had many winners on the spin. My small stakes have increased in size, due to a constant supply of winning selections 🙂 My DFG Bank is now really building nicely. However, as the stake is 10% of the Betting Bank, any losses do hit hard but I have always caught up rapidly before moving ahead again.
I ALWAYS stop betting if I hit my target of 2.5% (or as near as dammit.) Use your common sense – if you get close to your personal target, it’s your decision as to whether you want to carry on & go for it. Personally, I learned the harsh lesson of being greedy, and many times, when just under my target, I have “Gone for it,” only to lose the lot chasing bigger profits.
It’s your call as to whether you take the early odds, hoping they will then go down, or wait until nearer the off hoping the odds have increased. The key thing to remember is a winner (or winners) at odds totaling 1.25 or above will hit your Daily Target. A profit of 2.5% per day will double your Bank in a month.
2.5% A DAY??? Currently, the BEST Bank savings interest rate on offer is 2.02% A YEAR!!!
As a non-horse racing expert, it still amazes me that in a race with only 4, 5, or 6 runners where there is a massive favourite, you can still occasionally pick up superb Place Odds in excess of those required to hit your target. To my horse racing thicko’s mind, this is what I call a NO BRAINER.
I am trying out a NEW FEATURE – The “DFG ONE BET A DAY – OBAD” This is for those people who don’t have time to wait for several races and where I select ONE RACE A DAY which I think is the best bet for a good return. So far, things are going exceptionally well. 🙂
As Albert Einstein allegedly said: “Compound Interest is the 8th Wonder Of The World.”
** NB. A SPLIT bet is normally divided into 25% for the WIN and 75% for the PLACE. (ie. 1/3.) If I mention a 2/2 split, it means 50% for the WIN and 50% for the PLACE. (ie. 2/2.) **
I will also be adding the current prices available for Tripler & OBAD.
For those who may be a little more cautious when using Doc’s Fav Goldmine, you may want to follow Dave & Gav’s C20 staking plan:
- Divide your Total Betting Fund into 4 equal segments. (25% per segment.)
2. One segment – (25%) is used as your Frontline Betting Bank and 75% is held in reserve in case of a major loss.
3. Any winnings are added to your Total Betting Bank and then the whole process of splitting into 4 segments starts again for the new day.
TODAY’S HRP SELECTIONS
TRIPLER
14.54 – Catterick – Game Master. (72) – A 13-runner race, but I think that ours is up for it. Ridden by chubby legendary American comedian Lou Costello and cheered on by his mate, Bud Abbott, I will be plumping for a WIN. (1.70)
15.10 – Epsom – Pyledriver. (74) – With Dettori on board, anything can happen. Having said that, I think he will place and not necessarily win. SPLIT. (3.35 & 1.78)
17.30 – Market Rasen – Victory Club. (74) – Big challenger is the mighty Jim Bowen on board Space Voyage. However, Harry Skeleton should do the job. WIN. (1.48)
OBAD
17.30 – Market Rasen – Victory Club. (74) – Big challenger is the mighty Jim Bowen on board Space Voyage. However, Harry Skeleton should do the job. WIN. (1.48)
RATCHET
Same selections as Tripler but in the PLACE MARKET. Instructions for use: http://bit.ly/35tpfR3
DOC’S FAV GOLDMINE
- All selections are in the PLACE market.
- Stop at a profit of 2.5% per day. (Or as near as.)
- Use 10% of your Bank as a stake.
- If a loss occurs, keep to the last stake and not 10% of the new, reduced Bank.
I am showing the early Place Odds in brackets together with the number of runners and the number of horses to be placed. It’s your decision as to whether or not you take the early odds or wait, hoping they will increase. The key thing to remember is a winner/winners at odds totaling 1.25 or above will hit your Daily Target. A profit of 2.5% per day will double your Bank every month.
Please be prepared to change your line of thinking – “on the hoof” so to speak – if the odds move dramatically. They may drift, thus making the selection a “No Bet”, or the odds may steam in, making it not worth taking the risk.
From now on, I will now show the odds for the EXTRA PLACE (and occasionally, 2 TBP) if the prices have merit. This is for those who want a little extra security and are prepared to accept lower odds for the Extra Place, and better odds if it’s well fancied on the 2 TBP market.
I am trying out a NEW FEATURE – The “DFG ONE BET A DAY – OBAD” This is for those people who don’t have time to wait for several races and where I select ONE RACE which I think is the best bet for a good return. I hope it works! 🙂
No selections fit my strict criteria today, but IF I was going to have a bet, I would be looking at:
16.30 – Epsom – Emily Upjohn. It would be in the 4 TBP market with current odds of 1.27. (3 TBP at 1.43)
YESTERDAY’S SUMMARY
Jeez, what a duffer of a day. Race 1 on Tripler only managed to come 2nd but Race 2 won for us. Race 3 and our dimbo is still running. The OBAD selection was the one that finished 2nd but at least we got the first 2 races on Ratchet before that appalling 6th place finish in Race 3.
Doc’s Fav Goldmine started off with a poor 4th place, but Races 2 & 3 both came in for us at decent odds. Then it was capped off by another nice win at odds of 1.46 in Race 4. (Shame I didn’t have that as my Bet of the Day!)
TRIPLER
14.01 – Hamilton – Parisiac. (77) – Done and dusted. WIN. (1.34) RESULT – 2nd.
15.02- Redcar – Kidwah. (74) – Same as Race 1. Dead cert. WIN. (1.30) RESULT – 1st.
18.15 – Leopardstown – Patrick Sarsfield. (66) – A bit trickier. No obvious superstar and not the favourite. SPLIT. (3.10 & 1.79) RESULT – 6th
OBAD
14.01 – Hamilton – Parisiac. (77) – Done and dusted. WIN. (1.34) RESULT – 2nd.
RATCHET – RESULTS – 2nd, 1st, 6th.
DOC’S FAV GOLDMINE
13.35 – Leicester – Nusa Dua. (1.61 – 6 – 2) 3 TBP at 1.26. RESULT – 4th.
14.01 – Hamilton – Alfred Cove. (1.43 – 9 – 3) RESULT – 3rd.
18.00 – Chelmsford – Tahani. (1.61 – 7 – 2) 3 TBP at 1.28. RESULT – 1st.
19.40 – Chelmsford – Spinaround. (1.46 – 5 – 2) RESULT – 1st.
DFG OBAD
13.35 – Leicester – Nusa Dua. (1.61 – 6 – 2) 3 TBP at 1.26. RESULT – 4th.