** House Notes** Be careful if races start close to each other. You may not get the results of the race you placed a bet on before the next race starts, so do try to either watch a Live Feed of the race or “watch” the race in real-time at Betfair. **
For Tripler, OBAD, and Ratchet, I use the 3 selections generated by the HRP software, assess each one, and then say what I am going to do. Obviously, you can make your own decisions as to what you think the outcomes will be. Sometimes, the result of a previous race will dictate whether I stick with my predictions or not. The automated HRP spreadsheet determines your next stake, based on the result of the previous race and is geared at helping you hit your daily target.
My new system, Doc’s Fav Goldmine, is coming along nicely and I have had many winners on the spin. My small stakes have increased in size, due to a constant supply of winning selections 🙂 My DFG Bank is now really building nicely. I only started keeping accurate records since April 1st, 2021. In the first 3 months, my Bank has increased 630.77%. However, as the stake is 10% of the Betting Bank, any losses do hit hard but I have always caught up rapidly before moving ahead again.
I ALWAYS stop betting if I hit my target of 2.5% (or as near as dammit.) Use your common sense – if you get close to your personal target, it’s your decision as to whether you want to carry on & go for it. Personally, I learned the harsh lesson of being greedy, and many times, when just under my target, I have “Gone for it,” only to lose the lot chasing bigger profits.
It’s your call as to whether you take the early odds, hoping they will then go down, or wait until nearer the off hoping the odds have increased. The key thing to remember is a winner (or winners) at odds totaling 1.25 or above will hit your Daily Target. A profit of 2.5% per day will double your Bank in a month.
As a non-horse racing expert, it still amazes me that in a race with only 4, 5 or 6 runners where there is a massive favourite, you can still occasionally pick up Place Odds in excess of 1.50. To my horse racing thicko’s mind, this is what I call a NO BRAINER.
As Albert Einstein allegedly said: “Compound Interest is the 8th Wonder Of The World.”
STAY SAFE FELLAS.
TODAY’S HRP SELECTIONS
TRIPLER
13.45 – Haydock – Vertiginous. (64) – Streets ahead of all the opposition. Impossible to go for anything other than a WIN.
13.55 – Ascot – Saga. (64) – Last 2 races provided 2 x second places and I fully expect Frankie Dettori to go one better today. WIN.
18.37 – Kilbeggan – Nero Rock. (64) – A 6 horse race with 3 showing the way. We have 2 really good rivals in Presenting Bonnie and Ennemi Public. I’m opting to play it safe with a SPLIT.
OBAD
18.37 – Kilbeggan – Nero Rock. (64) – A 6 horse race with 3 showing the way. We have 2 really good rivals in Presenting Bonnie and Ennemi Public. I’m opting to play it safe with a SPLIT.
RATCHET – Instructions for use: http://bit.ly/35tpfR
DOC’S FAV GOLDMINE
- All selections are in the PLACE market.
- Stop at a profit of 2.5% per day. (Or as near as.)
- Use 10% of your Bank as stake.
- If a loss occurs, keep to the last stake and not 10% of the new, reduced Bank.
I am also showing the early Place Odds in brackets together with the number of runners and the number of horses to be placed. It’s your decision as to whether or not you take the early odds or wait, hoping they will increase. The key thing to remember is a winner/winners at odds totaling 1.25 or above will hit your Daily Target. A profit of 2.5% per day will double your Bank every month.
Please be prepared to change your line of thinking – “on the hoof” so to speak – if the odds move dramatically. They may drift, thus making the selection a “No Bet”, or the odds may steam in, making it not worth taking the risk.
If you want to, you can omit any bets with odds below 1.25 (or thereabouts) and just concentrate on the bets over those odds. This reduces the number of bets but means if you get a winner, you have hit your target and can stop betting for the day, not having to risk any more money on another race. (It also means, however, if you do get a loser, there will be fewer races left to recoup any losses.)
Because of a strong winning 3 months, the stakes are getting quite serious now. I’m trying to be mega confident in my selections so will be scrutinising them in a little more detail.
Seven selections today, which is a lot for me. Don’t forget – if you hit, or get very close to your personal target, stop betting for the day. A smaller profit is better than a loss.
13.55 – Ascot – Saga. (1.23 – 7 – 2)
14.10 – Newcastle – Bashkirova. (1.28 – 11 – 3)
16.15- Down Royal – Mickey The Steel. (1.29 – 7 – 2)
16.55 – Newcastle – Dusky Lord. (1.24 – 6 – 2)
18.45 – Kempton – Altraif. (1.21 – 10 – 3)
19.15 – Kempton – Jumbly. (1.20 – 5 – 2)
19.30 – Pontefract – King Of Stars. (1.45 – 8 – 3)
YESTERDAY’S SUMMARY
Not a sparkler of a day. I got 2 losers followed by a hugely short-priced winner on Tripler. OBAD came a cropper with our selection finishing 3rd. There was a Race 1 loser on Ratchet, followed by 2 winners.
On Doc’s Fav Goldmine, I deliberately didn’t bet on races 1 and 3 because the odds were very low. Race 1 screwed up but to my horror, a 20/1 petting farm grazer beat my selection for Race 2! Fortunately, my 2nd bet of the day (Race 4) came in and hauled back some of my loss. Well, even though I lost on DFG, these things happen. The Race 4 victory pulled some of my loss back but all things being equal, we will be back in profit in next to no time. It’s a marathon, not a sprint. (Even though any loss whacks me over the bonce!)
TRIPLER
13.15 – Sedgefield – All Clenched Up. (72) – WIN. RESULT – 3rd.
15.55 – Sedgefield – Fontana Ellissi. (67) – WIN. RESULT – 2nd.
19.25 – Chelmsford – Valiant Prince. (59) – WIN. RESULT – 1st.
OBAD
13.15 – Sedgefield – All Clenched Up. (72) – WIN. RESULT – 3rd.
RATCHET – RESULTS – 3rd, 2nd, 1st.
DOC’S FAV GOLDMINE
13.15 – Sedgefield – All Clenched Up. (1.15 – 5 – 2) RESULT – 3rd.
14.20 – Sedgefield – Stonific. (1.63 – 6 – 2) RESULT – 3rd.
15.15 – Haydock – New Kingdom. (1.14 – 8 – 3) RESULT – 1st.
18.30 – Dundalk – Stour. (1.27 – 8 – 3) RESULT – 1st.
Hi rob when you have a losing day,do you continue the next day or reset,only I’ve noticed that you still stop the following day if the horse wins,so how do you recover the loss from the day before,regards.
Hi Michael. I normally stick to the last losing stake if I have a loser. If the next bet wins, it depends on what selections are remaining. If I get a profit of around 2.5% on that bet, even though I may be down on the day, I usually stop.
It has only ever taken me a couple of days max to get back to where I am overall profit. There’s nothing to stop you from doing your own thing and carrying on with any remaining bets to try and recover from a loss.
It’s just that I am in this long term and I’m not too fussed about making a profit every single day. I know I will have the odd losing day but over the last 5 months, since I started Doc’s Fav Goldmine, I have never had a losing month.
I don’t treat it as a Get Rich Quick scheme. Over the long term, I know I will have some really nice profits.
Makes sense many thanks